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MarketsOklahomaStillwaterAppreciation & Growth Forecast

Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Stillwater, OK

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Stillwater, OK

Cap Rate
4.67%
Median Price
$235K
Rent/Mo
$1,320
1% Rule
0.56%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Stillwater, OK have appreciated at 2.5% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Stillwater continues appreciating at 2.5% annually, the current median of $235,000 would reach approximately $265,881 in 5 years — an equity gain of $30,881 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $47,000, that represents a 66% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $54,866, the projected total return is $85,747 — a 182% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Stillwater's population growth of 0.9% is moderate and positive, supporting steady but not explosive demand for housing. Markets with this growth profile tend to appreciate consistently without the boom-bust cycles of hyper-growth metros.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Stillwater, the 4.67% cap rate provides moderate ongoing cash flow, while 2.5% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

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How Stillwater Compares

Stillwater vs Oklahoma state average and national average across key investment metrics. Stillwater beats the national average but trails the Oklahoma average on cap rate.

Metric
Stillwater
Oklahoma Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
4.67%
5.69%
3.81%
Median Price
$235K
$187K
$333K
Median Rent
$1,320
$1,185
$1,524
Property Tax
0.88%
0.88%
1.08%
Vacancy
5.8%
5.8%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
0.9%/yr
0.9%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby South Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Stillwater, OK
4.7%
$235K
$1,320
0.88%
Baton Rouge, LA
5.0%
$240K
$1,350
0.56%
Oklahoma City, OK
4.7%
$240K
$1,360
0.88%
Memphis, TN
4.3%
$240K
$1,420
1.48%
Norman, OK
4.8%
$240K
$1,360
0.86%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Stillwater?
Home values in Stillwater have been appreciating at 2.5% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $235K home would be worth approximately $266K in 5 years.
Is Stillwater a growing city?
Stillwater's population of 50,000 is growing at 0.9% per year. Moderate growth provides stable demand without overheating.
What is the best investment strategy for Stillwater?
Stillwater's 4.67% cap rate and moderate growth make it a balanced market. Look for value-add properties below median where you can force appreciation through renovation while capturing cash flow.
How does Stillwater compare to other South cities?
Among South markets, Stillwater's 4.67% cap rate is below the Oklahoma average of 5.69%. Prices at $235K are above the state average of $187K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Stillwater against specific markets.
Full Stillwater Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Stillwater & Related Markets

More Stillwater Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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