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MarketsOhioAkronAppreciation & Growth Forecast

Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Akron, OH

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Akron, OH

Cap Rate
3.64%
Median Price
$230K
Rent/Mo
$1,240
1% Rule
0.54%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Akron, OH have appreciated at 1.9% per year. Appreciation is modest at 1.9%, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns rather than speculative price appreciation.

5-Year Price Projection

If Akron continues appreciating at 1.9% annually, the current median of $230,000 would reach approximately $252,696 in 5 years — an equity gain of $22,696 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $46,000, that represents a 49% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $41,822, the projected total return is $64,518 — a 140% cumulative return on the initial investment. That breaks down to roughly 28% per year on your cash invested. Cash flow is the dominant return component, contributing 65% of total returns — a more conservative and predictable return profile.

Growth Drivers

Akron's population is declining at -0.2% per year, which creates headwinds for appreciation. In declining markets, focus on properties in the strongest neighborhoods with the most resilient demand — not all areas decline equally. Local incomes of $39,800 are moderate, meaning appreciation is more likely to be gradual than explosive.

Risk Factors

The most significant risk in Akron is continued population decline at -0.2% per year. If this trend accelerates — due to job losses, industry shifts, or quality-of-life deterioration — property values could stagnate or decline. In a worst-case scenario, a market losing population can see values drop 10-20% over a decade while rents erode. The $230,000 price point provides some downside protection, as affordable markets historically experience smaller percentage declines during corrections. Interest rate changes also matter: a 2-point rate increase reduces buyer purchasing power by roughly 20%, which directly impacts resale values. Always stress-test your investment against a 15-20% value decline scenario.

BRRRR Opportunity

The BRRRR strategy (Buy, Rehab, Rent, Refinance, Repeat) is workable in Akron for investors with rehab experience. Target distressed properties at $161,000 or below, budget $46,000 for rehab, and aim for an ARV of $264,500. The key metric is whether a 75% LTV cash-out refinance ($198,375) covers your all-in cost. With modest 1.9% appreciation, the BRRRR math must work at today's values — do not count on future appreciation to bail out a thin deal.

10-Year Wealth Projection

Over a 10-year hold on a $230,000 Akron rental purchased with 20% down ($46,000), wealth accumulates from three sources. First, appreciation: at 1.9% annually, the property reaches $277,632, producing $47,632 in equity gain. Second, cash flow: after debt service of approximately $14,683/yr, net cash flow totals roughly $-63,186 over 10 years (before any rent increases). Third, loan paydown: your tenants' rent payments reduce the mortgage principal by approximately $23,920 over 10 years. Total wealth created: approximately $8,366 on an initial investment of $46,000. That is a 18% total return, or roughly 2% annualized. These returns illustrate how rental property builds wealth through multiple simultaneous channels. These projections assume constant appreciation and do not account for rent growth, which would improve cash flow over time.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Akron, the 3.64% cap rate provides moderate ongoing cash flow, while 1.9% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as upside. The key question for Akron is your time horizon: plan for a 7-10 year hold to maximize total returns through compounding cash flow and gradual equity building.

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How Akron Compares

Akron vs Ohio state average and national average across key investment metrics. Akron's cap rate is below both benchmarks — deal sourcing is critical here.

Metric
Akron
Ohio Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
3.64%
3.65%
3.81%
Median Price
$230K
$218K
$333K
Median Rent
$1,240
$1,149
$1,524
Property Tax
1.58%
1.58%
1.08%
Vacancy
7%
6.7%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
-0.2%/yr
0.2%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby Midwest Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Akron, OH
3.6%
$230K
$1,240
1.58%
Aberdeen, SD
2.8%
$230K
$960
1.2%
Adrian, MI
3.2%
$230K
$1,120
1.46%
Findlay, OH
3.8%
$230K
$1,260
1.58%
Sandusky, OH
4.9%
$230K
$1,490
1.58%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Akron?
Home values in Akron have been appreciating at 1.9% per year. Appreciation is modest, so total returns will be primarily cash-flow driven. At this rate, a $230K home would be worth approximately $253K in 5 years.
Is Akron a growing city?
Akron's population of 190,469 is declining at -0.2% per year. Population decline creates headwinds — focus on the strongest neighborhoods.
What is the best investment strategy for Akron?
In Akron, pure cash flow is tight at 3.64%. Consider appreciation-focused strategies, house hacking, or targeting below-median properties where rent-to-price ratios are stronger.
How does Akron compare to other Midwest cities?
Among Midwest markets, Akron's 3.64% cap rate is below the Ohio average of 3.65%. Prices at $230K are above the state average of $218K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Akron against specific markets.
Full Akron Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Akron & Related Markets

More Akron Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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