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MarketsOregonAlbanyAppreciation & Growth Forecast

Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Albany, OR

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Albany, OR

Cap Rate
2.78%
Median Price
$405K
Rent/Mo
$1,600
1% Rule
0.40%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Albany, OR have appreciated at 2.5% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Albany continues appreciating at 2.5% annually, the current median of $405,000 would reach approximately $458,220 in 5 years — an equity gain of $53,220 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $81,000, that represents a 66% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $56,253, the projected total return is $109,473 — a 135% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Albany's population growth of 1% is moderate and positive, supporting steady but not explosive demand for housing. Markets with this growth profile tend to appreciate consistently without the boom-bust cycles of hyper-growth metros.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Albany, the 2.78% cap rate provides modest ongoing cash flow, while 2.5% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

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How Albany Compares

Albany vs Oregon state average and national average across key investment metrics. Albany's cap rate is below both benchmarks — deal sourcing is critical here.

Metric
Albany
Oregon Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
2.78%
2.74%
3.81%
Median Price
$405K
$438K
$333K
Median Rent
$1,600
$1,672
$1,524
Property Tax
0.94%
0.94%
1.08%
Vacancy
4.7%
4.7%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
1%/yr
1%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby West Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Albany, OR
2.8%
$405K
$1,600
0.94%
Fresno, CA
3.6%
$405K
$1,840
0.76%
Idaho Falls, ID
2.5%
$405K
$1,410
0.64%
Cedar City, UT
3.0%
$405K
$1,550
0.57%
Walla Walla, WA
2.6%
$405K
$1,540
0.93%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Albany?
Home values in Albany have been appreciating at 2.5% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $405K home would be worth approximately $458K in 5 years.
Is Albany a growing city?
Albany's population of 50,000 is growing at 1% per year. Moderate growth provides stable demand without overheating.
What is the best investment strategy for Albany?
In Albany, pure cash flow is tight at 2.78%. Consider appreciation-focused strategies, house hacking, or targeting below-median properties where rent-to-price ratios are stronger.
How does Albany compare to other West cities?
Among West markets, Albany's 2.78% cap rate exceeds the Oregon average of 2.74%. Prices at $405K are below the state average of $438K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Albany against specific markets.
Full Albany Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Albany & Related Markets

More Albany Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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