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Carson City, NV Cap Rate: 2.80% — Rental Property Analysis

Carson City is a higher-priced market in the West with a small but investable metro of 50,000. At a 2.80% estimated cap rate, this is a appreciation-focused market where rents of $1,770/mo lag behind home prices. With a median home price of $485,000 and rapid population growth is driving housing demand, Carson City is primarily an appreciation play that requires creative strategies to generate positive cash flow.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Challenging for pure cash flow
Based on $485,000 median price and $1,770/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
2.80%
1% Rule
0.36%
Fails
GRM
22.8x
Price / Income
7.7x

Market Data

Median Home Price$485,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,770
Property Tax Rate0.56%
Population50,000
Population Growth2.2% / yr
Median Household Income$63,120
Vacancy Rate5%
Annual Appreciation3.2%

2026 Market Update: Carson City

Carson City's 0.4% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $485,000, the $1,770/mo rent produces only $1,132/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($97K at 7%) would result in approximately $-1,448/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

The 22.8x gross rent multiplier and 5% vacancy rate position Carson City as a growth-dependent market. With annual appreciation at 3.2%, total returns (cash flow + equity growth) run approximately 6.0% before financing leverage.

Cap Rate Calculator — Carson City

Pre-filled with Carson City medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
0.56% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
2.41%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$11,694
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
22.8x
High (>15)
1% Rule
0.36%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$975
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$21,240
Less Vacancy−$1,062
Effective Income$20,178
Less Operating Expenses−$8,484
Net Operating Income$11,694
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Carson City

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Carson City.

$
$121,250
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-11.88%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$135,800
$121,250 down + $14,550 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$2,371
on $364K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-1,344
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-16,133
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,770
Less Expenses−$743
Less Mortgage−$2,371
Monthly Cash Flow$-1,344

Is Carson City a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Carson City, NV has a population of 50,000 and has been growing at 2.2% annually — well above the national average, signaling strong housing demand from population inflows. The median home price of $485,000 paired with median rents of $1,770/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 2.80%.

Property taxes at 0.56% are well below the national average of ~1.1%, providing a meaningful cash flow advantage many investors overlook. The vacancy rate of 5% is moderate and within normal parameters for a healthy rental market.

At a price-to-income ratio of 7.7x, homes cost about 7.7 times the local median income of $63,120. This elevated ratio means homeownership is stretched, supporting rental demand but limiting buyer pools. Home values have appreciated at roughly 3.2% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: At current median prices, Carson City is challenging for pure cash flow investing. Consider BRRRR strategies with below-market purchases, or look at neighboring metros with stronger price-to-rent ratios.

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