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MarketsUtahCedar CityAppreciation & Growth Forecast

Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Cedar City, UT

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Cedar City, UT

Cap Rate
3.03%
Median Price
$405K
Rent/Mo
$1,550
1% Rule
0.38%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Cedar City, UT have appreciated at 2.8% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Cedar City continues appreciating at 2.8% annually, the current median of $405,000 would reach approximately $464,965 in 5 years — an equity gain of $59,965 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $81,000, that represents a 74% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $61,259, the projected total return is $121,224 — a 150% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Cedar City's population is growing at 2% annually — well above the US average of ~0.5%. Rapid population growth is the single strongest predictor of sustained home price appreciation because it creates persistent demand pressure. More people need more housing, and new construction rarely keeps pace with demand in fast-growing markets.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Cedar City, the 3.03% cap rate provides modest ongoing cash flow, while 2.8% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

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How Cedar City Compares

Cedar City vs Utah state average and national average across key investment metrics. Cedar City's cap rate is below both benchmarks — deal sourcing is critical here.

Metric
Cedar City
Utah Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
3.03%
2.38%
3.81%
Median Price
$405K
$559K
$333K
Median Rent
$1,550
$1,734
$1,524
Property Tax
0.57%
0.57%
1.08%
Vacancy
4.3%
4.3%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
2%/yr
2%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby West Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Cedar City, UT
3.0%
$405K
$1,550
0.57%
Fresno, CA
3.6%
$405K
$1,840
0.76%
Idaho Falls, ID
2.5%
$405K
$1,410
0.64%
Albany, OR
2.8%
$405K
$1,600
0.94%
Walla Walla, WA
2.6%
$405K
$1,540
0.93%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Cedar City?
Home values in Cedar City have been appreciating at 2.8% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $405K home would be worth approximately $465K in 5 years.
Is Cedar City a growing city?
Cedar City's population of 50,000 is growing at 2% per year. This rapid growth drives housing demand and supports both rent increases and price appreciation.
What is the best investment strategy for Cedar City?
In Cedar City, pure cash flow is tight at 3.03%. Consider appreciation-focused strategies, house hacking, or targeting below-median properties where rent-to-price ratios are stronger.
How does Cedar City compare to other West cities?
Among West markets, Cedar City's 3.03% cap rate exceeds the Utah average of 2.38%. Prices at $405K are below the state average of $559K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Cedar City against specific markets.
Full Cedar City Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Cedar City & Related Markets

More Cedar City Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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