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MarketsOregonCoos BayAppreciation & Growth Forecast

Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Coos Bay, OR

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Coos Bay, OR

Cap Rate
4.25%
Median Price
$340K
Rent/Mo
$1,780
1% Rule
0.52%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Coos Bay, OR have appreciated at 2.5% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Coos Bay continues appreciating at 2.5% annually, the current median of $340,000 would reach approximately $384,679 in 5 years — an equity gain of $44,679 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $68,000, that represents a 66% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $72,200, the projected total return is $116,879 — a 172% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Coos Bay's population growth of 1% is moderate and positive, supporting steady but not explosive demand for housing. Markets with this growth profile tend to appreciate consistently without the boom-bust cycles of hyper-growth metros.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Coos Bay, the 4.25% cap rate provides moderate ongoing cash flow, while 2.5% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

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How Coos Bay Compares

Coos Bay vs Oregon state average and national average across key investment metrics. Coos Bay outperforms both benchmarks on cap rate.

Metric
Coos Bay
Oregon Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
4.25%
2.74%
3.81%
Median Price
$340K
$438K
$333K
Median Rent
$1,780
$1,672
$1,524
Property Tax
0.94%
0.94%
1.08%
Vacancy
4.7%
4.7%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
1%/yr
1%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby West Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Coos Bay, OR
4.2%
$340K
$1,780
0.94%
Tucson, AZ
3.3%
$340K
$1,450
0.72%
Albuquerque, NM
3.4%
$340K
$1,500
0.78%
Rio Rancho, NM
3.4%
$340K
$1,500
0.76%
Roseburg, OR
2.7%
$340K
$1,320
0.94%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Coos Bay?
Home values in Coos Bay have been appreciating at 2.5% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $340K home would be worth approximately $385K in 5 years.
Is Coos Bay a growing city?
Coos Bay's population of 50,000 is growing at 1% per year. Moderate growth provides stable demand without overheating.
What is the best investment strategy for Coos Bay?
Coos Bay's 4.25% cap rate and moderate growth make it a balanced market. Look for value-add properties below median where you can force appreciation through renovation while capturing cash flow.
How does Coos Bay compare to other West cities?
Among West markets, Coos Bay's 4.25% cap rate exceeds the Oregon average of 2.74%. Prices at $340K are below the state average of $438K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Coos Bay against specific markets.
Full Coos Bay Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Coos Bay & Related Markets

More Coos Bay Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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