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Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Gillette, WY

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Gillette, WY

Cap Rate
2.82%
Median Price
$320K
Rent/Mo
$1,190
1% Rule
0.37%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Gillette, WY have appreciated at 2.4% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Gillette continues appreciating at 2.4% annually, the current median of $320,000 would reach approximately $360,288 in 5 years — an equity gain of $40,288 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $64,000, that represents a 63% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $45,127, the projected total return is $85,415 — a 133% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Gillette's population growth of 0.8% is moderate and positive, supporting steady but not explosive demand for housing. Markets with this growth profile tend to appreciate consistently without the boom-bust cycles of hyper-growth metros.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Gillette, the 2.82% cap rate provides modest ongoing cash flow, while 2.4% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

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How Gillette Compares

Gillette vs Wyoming state average and national average across key investment metrics. Gillette's cap rate is below both benchmarks — deal sourcing is critical here.

Metric
Gillette
Wyoming Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
2.82%
2.65%
3.81%
Median Price
$320K
$477K
$333K
Median Rent
$1,190
$1,560
$1,524
Property Tax
0.61%
0.61%
1.08%
Vacancy
5.2%
5.2%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
0.8%/yr
0.8%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby West Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Gillette, WY
2.8%
$320K
$1,190
0.61%
Fort Morgan, CO
3.0%
$320K
$1,220
0.51%
La Grande, OR
2.7%
$320K
$1,230
0.94%
Pullman, WA
2.8%
$320K
$1,270
0.93%
Aberdeen, WA
3.5%
$315K
$1,430
0.93%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Gillette?
Home values in Gillette have been appreciating at 2.4% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $320K home would be worth approximately $360K in 5 years.
Is Gillette a growing city?
Gillette's population of 50,000 is growing at 0.8% per year. Moderate growth provides stable demand without overheating.
What is the best investment strategy for Gillette?
In Gillette, pure cash flow is tight at 2.82%. Consider appreciation-focused strategies, house hacking, or targeting below-median properties where rent-to-price ratios are stronger.
How does Gillette compare to other West cities?
Among West markets, Gillette's 2.82% cap rate exceeds the Wyoming average of 2.65%. Prices at $320K are below the state average of $477K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Gillette against specific markets.
Full Gillette Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Gillette & Related Markets

More Gillette Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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