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Lawrence, KS

Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Lawrence, KS

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Lawrence, KS

Cap Rate
3.44%
Median Price
$255K
Rent/Mo
$1,250
1% Rule
0.49%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Lawrence, KS have appreciated at 2.6% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Lawrence continues appreciating at 2.6% annually, the current median of $255,000 would reach approximately $289,919 in 5 years — an equity gain of $34,919 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $51,000, that represents a 68% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $43,860, the projected total return is $78,779 — a 154% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Lawrence's population growth of 0.8% is moderate and positive, supporting steady but not explosive demand for housing. Markets with this growth profile tend to appreciate consistently without the boom-bust cycles of hyper-growth metros.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Lawrence, the 3.44% cap rate provides modest ongoing cash flow, while 2.6% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

Full Lawrence Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

More Lawrence Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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