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Lawrence, KS Cap Rate: 2.94% — Rental Property Analysis

Lawrence is a mid-range market in the Midwest with a smaller market with 98,000 residents. At a 2.94% estimated cap rate, this is a appreciation-focused market where rents of $1,450/mo lag behind home prices. With a median home price of $325,000 and steady population growth supports long-term rental demand, Lawrence is primarily an appreciation play that requires creative strategies to generate positive cash flow.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Challenging for pure cash flow
Based on $325,000 median price and $1,450/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
2.94%
1% Rule
0.45%
Fails
GRM
18.7x
Price / Income
6.7x

Market Data

Median Home Price$325,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,450
Property Tax Rate1.36%
Population98,000
Population Growth0.8% / yr
Median Household Income$48,600
Vacancy Rate4.8%
Annual Appreciation2.6%

2026 Market Update: Lawrence

Lawrence's 0.4% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $325,000, the $1,450/mo rent produces only $795/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($65K at 7%) would result in approximately $-934/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

Property taxes consume 25% of gross rent here — one of the highest ratios in our dataset. This significantly compresses margins and makes Lawrence a market where tax-conscious underwriting is essential. Every deal should be stress-tested with potential assessment increases.

Cap Rate Calculator — Lawrence

Pre-filled with Lawrence medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
1.36% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
2.38%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$7,721
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
18.7x
High (>15)
1% Rule
0.45%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$643
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$17,400
Less Vacancy−$835
Effective Income$16,565
Less Operating Expenses−$8,844
Net Operating Income$7,721
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Lawrence

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Lawrence.

$
$81,250
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-9.86%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$91,000
$81,250 down + $9,750 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$1,589
on $244K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-748
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-8,977
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,450
Less Expenses−$609
Less Mortgage−$1,589
Monthly Cash Flow$-748

Is Lawrence a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Lawrence, KS has a population of 98,000 and has been growing at 0.8% annually — roughly in line with national trends, meaning demand is stable but not exceptional. The median home price of $325,000 paired with median rents of $1,450/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 2.94%.

Property taxes at 1.36% fall within the national average range and shouldn't present unusual challenges. The vacancy rate of 4.8% is impressively low, indicating tight rental supply and strong tenant demand — favorable for landlords.

At a price-to-income ratio of 6.7x, homes cost about 6.7 times the local median income of $48,600. This elevated ratio means homeownership is stretched, supporting rental demand but limiting buyer pools. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.6% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: At current median prices, Lawrence is challenging for pure cash flow investing. Consider BRRRR strategies with below-market purchases, or look at neighboring metros with stronger price-to-rent ratios.

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