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Rochester, MN Cap Rate: 3.73% — Rental Property Analysis

Rochester is a mid-range market in the Midwest with a smaller market with 124,654 residents. At a 3.73% estimated cap rate, this is a appreciation-focused market where rents of $1,620/mo lag behind home prices. With a median home price of $330,000 and steady population growth supports long-term rental demand, Rochester is primarily an appreciation play that requires creative strategies to generate positive cash flow.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Challenging for pure cash flow
Based on $330,000 median price and $1,620/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
3.73%
1% Rule
0.49%
Fails
GRM
17.0x
Price / Income
4.6x

Market Data

Median Home Price$330,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,620
Property Tax Rate1.1%
Population124,654
Population Growth1.2% / yr
Median Household Income$72,400
Vacancy Rate4.5%
Annual Appreciation2.7%

2026 Market Update: Rochester

Rochester's 0.5% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $330,000, the $1,620/mo rent produces only $1,025/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($66K at 7%) would result in approximately $-731/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

Property taxes consume 19% of gross rent here — one of the highest ratios in our dataset. This significantly compresses margins and makes Rochester a market where tax-conscious underwriting is essential. Every deal should be stress-tested with potential assessment increases.

Cap Rate Calculator — Rochester

Pre-filled with Rochester medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
1.1% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
3.06%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$10,105
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
17.0x
High (>15)
1% Rule
0.49%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$842
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$19,440
Less Vacancy−$875
Effective Income$18,565
Less Operating Expenses−$8,460
Net Operating Income$10,105
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Rochester

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Rochester.

$
$82,500
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-8.75%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$92,400
$82,500 down + $9,900 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$1,614
on $248K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-674
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-8,082
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,620
Less Expenses−$680
Less Mortgage−$1,614
Monthly Cash Flow$-674

Is Rochester a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Rochester, MN has a population of 124,654 and has been growing at 1.2% annually — above the national average, suggesting steady demand pressure on housing. The median home price of $330,000 paired with median rents of $1,620/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 3.73%.

Property taxes at 1.1% fall within the national average range and shouldn't present unusual challenges. The vacancy rate of 4.5% is impressively low, indicating tight rental supply and strong tenant demand — favorable for landlords.

At a price-to-income ratio of 4.6x, homes cost about 4.6 times the local median income of $72,400. This moderate ratio indicates a balanced rent-vs-buy market. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.7% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: At current median prices, Rochester is challenging for pure cash flow investing. Consider BRRRR strategies with below-market purchases, or look at neighboring metros with stronger price-to-rent ratios.

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