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MarketsOhioMansfieldAppreciation & Growth Forecast

Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Mansfield, OH

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Mansfield, OH

Cap Rate
2.86%
Median Price
$190K
Rent/Mo
$890
1% Rule
0.47%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Mansfield, OH have appreciated at 2.2% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Mansfield continues appreciating at 2.2% annually, the current median of $190,000 would reach approximately $211,840 in 5 years — an equity gain of $21,840 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $38,000, that represents a 57% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $27,212, the projected total return is $49,052 — a 129% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Population growth in Mansfield is minimal at 0.2%. Appreciation here is more likely driven by regional economic factors, inflation, and housing stock constraints rather than population-driven demand.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Mansfield, the 2.86% cap rate provides modest ongoing cash flow, while 2.2% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

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How Mansfield Compares

Mansfield vs Ohio state average and national average across key investment metrics. Mansfield's cap rate is below both benchmarks — deal sourcing is critical here.

Metric
Mansfield
Ohio Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
2.86%
3.65%
3.81%
Median Price
$190K
$218K
$333K
Median Rent
$890
$1,149
$1,524
Property Tax
1.58%
1.58%
1.08%
Vacancy
6.7%
6.7%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
0.2%/yr
0.2%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby Midwest Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Mansfield, OH
2.9%
$190K
$890
1.58%
Toledo, OH
4.3%
$190K
$1,160
1.65%
Springfield, IL
4.0%
$190K
$1,170
2.08%
Beatrice, NE
3.7%
$190K
$1,020
1.62%
Mason City, IA
2.9%
$190K
$880
1.51%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Mansfield?
Home values in Mansfield have been appreciating at 2.2% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $190K home would be worth approximately $212K in 5 years.
Is Mansfield a growing city?
Mansfield's population of 50,000 is growing at 0.2% per year. Slow growth means demand is stable but not increasing rapidly.
What is the best investment strategy for Mansfield?
In Mansfield, pure cash flow is tight at 2.86%. Consider appreciation-focused strategies, house hacking, or targeting below-median properties where rent-to-price ratios are stronger.
How does Mansfield compare to other Midwest cities?
Among Midwest markets, Mansfield's 2.86% cap rate is below the Ohio average of 3.65%. Prices at $190K are below the state average of $218K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Mansfield against specific markets.
Full Mansfield Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Mansfield & Related Markets

More Mansfield Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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