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Springfield, IL Cap Rate: 4.03% — Rental Property Analysis

Springfield is a budget-friendly market in the Midwest with a smaller market with 113,000 residents. At a 4.03% estimated cap rate, this is a moderate market where rents of $1,170/mo lag behind home prices. With a median home price of $190,000 and population is roughly stable, Springfield offers opportunities for investors who source deals carefully.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Moderate — source deals carefully
Based on $190,000 median price and $1,170/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
4.03%
1% Rule
0.62%
Fails
GRM
13.5x
Price / Income
3.6x

Market Data

Median Home Price$190,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,170
Property Tax Rate2.08%
Population113,000
Population Growth0.1% / yr
Median Household Income$52,400
Vacancy Rate6.5%
Annual Appreciation1.8%

2026 Market Update: Springfield

Springfield's 0.6% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $190,000, the $1,170/mo rent produces only $638/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($38K at 7%) would result in approximately $-373/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

Property taxes consume 28% of gross rent here — one of the highest ratios in our dataset. This significantly compresses margins and makes Springfield a market where tax-conscious underwriting is essential. Every deal should be stress-tested with potential assessment increases.

Cap Rate Calculator — Springfield

Pre-filled with Springfield medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
2.08% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
3.10%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$5,891
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
13.5x
Good (<15)
1% Rule
0.62%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$491
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$14,040
Less Vacancy−$913
Effective Income$13,127
Less Operating Expenses−$7,236
Net Operating Income$5,891
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Springfield

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Springfield.

$
$47,500
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-5.64%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$53,200
$47,500 down + $5,700 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$929
on $143K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-250
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-3,000
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,170
Less Expenses−$491
Less Mortgage−$929
Monthly Cash Flow$-250

Is Springfield a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Springfield, IL has a population of 113,000 and has been growing at 0.1% annually — roughly in line with national trends, meaning demand is stable but not exceptional. The median home price of $190,000 paired with median rents of $1,170/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 4.03%.

Property taxes at 2.08% are notably high and represent a significant drag on cash flow — model this expense carefully, as it can make or break a deal. The vacancy rate of 6.5% is moderate and within normal parameters for a healthy rental market.

At a price-to-income ratio of 3.6x, homes cost about 3.6 times the local median income of $52,400. This relatively affordable ratio suggests a deep pool of renters who find buying out of reach, supporting rental demand. Home values have appreciated at roughly 1.8% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: Springfield presents moderate opportunities. Cap rates near 4.03% mean deals need careful sourcing — look for value-add rehabs or emerging neighborhoods where rents are climbing.

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