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Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Minot, ND

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Minot, ND

Cap Rate
2.55%
Median Price
$260K
Rent/Mo
$990
1% Rule
0.38%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Minot, ND have appreciated at 2.4% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Minot continues appreciating at 2.4% annually, the current median of $260,000 would reach approximately $292,734 in 5 years — an equity gain of $32,734 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $52,000, that represents a 63% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $33,171, the projected total return is $65,905 — a 127% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Minot's population growth of 1% is moderate and positive, supporting steady but not explosive demand for housing. Markets with this growth profile tend to appreciate consistently without the boom-bust cycles of hyper-growth metros.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Minot, the 2.55% cap rate provides modest ongoing cash flow, while 2.4% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

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How Minot Compares

Minot vs North Dakota state average and national average across key investment metrics. Minot's cap rate is below both benchmarks — deal sourcing is critical here.

Metric
Minot
North Dakota Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
2.55%
2.76%
3.81%
Median Price
$260K
$284K
$333K
Median Rent
$990
$1,126
$1,524
Property Tax
0.98%
0.98%
1.08%
Vacancy
5.2%
5.2%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
1%/yr
1%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby Midwest Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Minot, ND
2.6%
$260K
$990
0.98%
Detroit, MI
3.9%
$260K
$1,460
1.54%
Ames, IA
2.3%
$260K
$1,050
1.5%
Warren, MI
4.1%
$260K
$1,460
1.44%
Sterling Heights, MI
4.2%
$260K
$1,460
1.4%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Minot?
Home values in Minot have been appreciating at 2.4% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $260K home would be worth approximately $293K in 5 years.
Is Minot a growing city?
Minot's population of 50,000 is growing at 1% per year. Moderate growth provides stable demand without overheating.
What is the best investment strategy for Minot?
In Minot, pure cash flow is tight at 2.55%. Consider appreciation-focused strategies, house hacking, or targeting below-median properties where rent-to-price ratios are stronger.
How does Minot compare to other Midwest cities?
Among Midwest markets, Minot's 2.55% cap rate is below the North Dakota average of 2.76%. Prices at $260K are below the state average of $284K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Minot against specific markets.
Full Minot Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Minot & Related Markets

More Minot Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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St. Cloud, MN$305K · $1,210/mo
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