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Lincoln, NE Cap Rate: 2.58% — Rental Property Analysis

Lincoln is a mid-range market in the Midwest with a mid-sized city of 295,222. At a 2.58% estimated cap rate, this is a appreciation-focused market where rents of $1,290/mo lag behind home prices. With a median home price of $295,000 and steady population growth supports long-term rental demand, Lincoln is primarily an appreciation play that requires creative strategies to generate positive cash flow.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Challenging for pure cash flow
Based on $295,000 median price and $1,290/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
2.58%
1% Rule
0.44%
Fails
GRM
19.1x
Price / Income
5.2x

Market Data

Median Home Price$295,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,290
Property Tax Rate1.62%
Population295,222
Population Growth0.9% / yr
Median Household Income$56,800
Vacancy Rate4.8%
Annual Appreciation2.6%

2026 Market Update: Lincoln

Lincoln's 0.4% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $295,000, the $1,290/mo rent produces only $633/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($59K at 7%) would result in approximately $-936/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

Property taxes consume 31% of gross rent here — one of the highest ratios in our dataset. This significantly compresses margins and makes Lincoln a market where tax-conscious underwriting is essential. Every deal should be stress-tested with potential assessment increases.

Cap Rate Calculator — Lincoln

Pre-filled with Lincoln medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
1.62% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
2.03%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$6,001
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
19.1x
High (>15)
1% Rule
0.44%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$500
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$15,480
Less Vacancy−$743
Effective Income$14,737
Less Operating Expenses−$8,736
Net Operating Income$6,001
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Lincoln

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Lincoln.

$
$73,750
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-10.09%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$82,600
$73,750 down + $8,850 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$1,442
on $221K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-694
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-8,333
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,290
Less Expenses−$542
Less Mortgage−$1,442
Monthly Cash Flow$-694

Is Lincoln a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Lincoln, NE has a population of 295,222 and has been growing at 0.9% annually — roughly in line with national trends, meaning demand is stable but not exceptional. The median home price of $295,000 paired with median rents of $1,290/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 2.58%.

Property taxes at 1.62% are notably high and represent a significant drag on cash flow — model this expense carefully, as it can make or break a deal. The vacancy rate of 4.8% is impressively low, indicating tight rental supply and strong tenant demand — favorable for landlords.

At a price-to-income ratio of 5.2x, homes cost about 5.2 times the local median income of $56,800. This moderate ratio indicates a balanced rent-vs-buy market. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.6% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: At current median prices, Lincoln is challenging for pure cash flow investing. Consider BRRRR strategies with below-market purchases, or look at neighboring metros with stronger price-to-rent ratios.

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