%
CapRateCity
Free cap rate calculators for every US market
MarketsTexasPlainviewAppreciation & Growth Forecast

Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Plainview, TX

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Plainview, TX

Cap Rate
5.54%
Median Price
$115K
Rent/Mo
$820
1% Rule
0.71%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Plainview, TX have appreciated at 2.7% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Plainview continues appreciating at 2.7% annually, the current median of $115,000 would reach approximately $131,386 in 5 years — an equity gain of $16,386 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $23,000, that represents a 71% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $31,856, the projected total return is $48,242 — a 210% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Plainview's population is growing at 1.8% annually — well above the US average of ~0.5%. Rapid population growth is the single strongest predictor of sustained home price appreciation because it creates persistent demand pressure. More people need more housing, and new construction rarely keeps pace with demand in fast-growing markets. Higher-than-average local incomes ($63,735) support continued price growth as more residents can afford to bid up properties.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Plainview, the 5.54% cap rate provides strong ongoing cash flow, while 2.7% annual appreciation adds an equity component. The strong cash flow here means your returns are mostly realized as income rather than paper equity — a more conservative and predictable return profile.

Sponsored · Want to analyze a specific property? DealCheck imports real listing data and runs the full analysis for you.
Try Free →

How Plainview Compares

Plainview vs Texas state average and national average across key investment metrics. Plainview outperforms both benchmarks on cap rate.

Metric
Plainview
Texas Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
5.54%
3.89%
3.81%
Median Price
$115K
$264K
$333K
Median Rent
$820
$1,415
$1,524
Property Tax
1.72%
1.72%
1.08%
Vacancy
5.8%
5.8%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
1.8%/yr
1.8%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby South Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Plainview, TX
5.5%
$115K
$820
1.72%
Meridian, MS
8.4%
$120K
$1,070
0.66%
Ponca City, OK
7.0%
$110K
$840
0.88%
McComb, MS
7.4%
$105K
$840
0.66%
Weirton, WV
6.0%
$125K
$830
0.58%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Plainview?
Home values in Plainview have been appreciating at 2.7% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $115K home would be worth approximately $131K in 5 years.
Is Plainview a growing city?
Plainview's population of 50,000 is growing at 1.8% per year. This rapid growth drives housing demand and supports both rent increases and price appreciation.
What is the best investment strategy for Plainview?
Plainview's 5.54% cap rate and strong growth make it a balanced market. Look for value-add properties below median where you can force appreciation through renovation while capturing cash flow.
How does Plainview compare to other South cities?
Among South markets, Plainview's 5.54% cap rate exceeds the Texas average of 3.89%. Prices at $115K are below the state average of $264K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Plainview against specific markets.
Full Plainview Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Plainview & Related Markets

More Plainview Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

Similar Markets in the South

Kinston, NC$150K · $940/mo
5.5%
Wilson, NC$220K · $1,380/mo
5.5%
Punta Gorda, FL$295K · $1,870/mo
5.6%
Weatherford, OK$175K · $1,120/mo
5.6%
Fairmont, WV$160K · $1,000/mo
5.6%
The CapRateCity Report
Weekly market analysis: highest cap rate cities, emerging markets, and deal breakdowns. Free, no spam.