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MarketsArkansasRussellvilleAppreciation & Growth Forecast

Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Russellville, AR

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Russellville, AR

Cap Rate
3.80%
Median Price
$195K
Rent/Mo
$900
1% Rule
0.46%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Russellville, AR have appreciated at 2.5% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Russellville continues appreciating at 2.5% annually, the current median of $195,000 would reach approximately $220,625 in 5 years — an equity gain of $25,625 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $39,000, that represents a 66% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $37,013, the projected total return is $62,638 — a 161% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Russellville's population growth of 0.9% is moderate and positive, supporting steady but not explosive demand for housing. Markets with this growth profile tend to appreciate consistently without the boom-bust cycles of hyper-growth metros.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Russellville, the 3.80% cap rate provides moderate ongoing cash flow, while 2.5% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

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How Russellville Compares

Russellville vs Arkansas state average and national average across key investment metrics. Russellville's cap rate is below both benchmarks — deal sourcing is critical here.

Metric
Russellville
Arkansas Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
3.80%
4.54%
3.81%
Median Price
$195K
$220K
$333K
Median Rent
$900
$1,140
$1,524
Property Tax
0.61%
0.61%
1.08%
Vacancy
6%
6%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
0.9%/yr
0.9%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby South Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Russellville, AR
3.8%
$195K
$900
0.61%
Lafayette, LA
6.3%
$195K
$1,330
0.52%
Lake Charles, LA
5.3%
$195K
$1,150
0.54%
LaGrange, GA
5.5%
$195K
$1,250
0.93%
Lufkin, TX
5.4%
$195K
$1,360
1.72%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Russellville?
Home values in Russellville have been appreciating at 2.5% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $195K home would be worth approximately $221K in 5 years.
Is Russellville a growing city?
Russellville's population of 50,000 is growing at 0.9% per year. Moderate growth provides stable demand without overheating.
What is the best investment strategy for Russellville?
In Russellville, pure cash flow is tight at 3.80%. Consider appreciation-focused strategies, house hacking, or targeting below-median properties where rent-to-price ratios are stronger.
How does Russellville compare to other South cities?
Among South markets, Russellville's 3.80% cap rate is below the Arkansas average of 4.54%. Prices at $195K are below the state average of $220K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Russellville against specific markets.
Full Russellville Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Russellville & Related Markets

More Russellville Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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