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MarketsTexasSan AngeloAppreciation & Growth Forecast

Appreciation & Growth Forecast: San Angelo, TX

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for San Angelo, TX

Cap Rate
3.79%
Median Price
$240K
Rent/Mo
$1,340
1% Rule
0.56%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in San Angelo, TX have appreciated at 2.7% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If San Angelo continues appreciating at 2.7% annually, the current median of $240,000 would reach approximately $274,197 in 5 years — an equity gain of $34,197 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $48,000, that represents a 71% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $45,497, the projected total return is $79,694 — a 166% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

San Angelo's population is growing at 1.8% annually — well above the US average of ~0.5%. Rapid population growth is the single strongest predictor of sustained home price appreciation because it creates persistent demand pressure. More people need more housing, and new construction rarely keeps pace with demand in fast-growing markets. Higher-than-average local incomes ($63,735) support continued price growth as more residents can afford to bid up properties.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In San Angelo, the 3.79% cap rate provides moderate ongoing cash flow, while 2.7% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

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How San Angelo Compares

San Angelo vs Texas state average and national average across key investment metrics. San Angelo's cap rate is below both benchmarks — deal sourcing is critical here.

Metric
San Angelo
Texas Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
3.79%
3.89%
3.81%
Median Price
$240K
$264K
$333K
Median Rent
$1,340
$1,415
$1,524
Property Tax
1.72%
1.72%
1.08%
Vacancy
5.8%
5.8%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
1.8%/yr
1.8%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby South Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
San Angelo, TX
3.8%
$240K
$1,340
1.72%
Baton Rouge, LA
5.0%
$240K
$1,350
0.56%
Oklahoma City, OK
4.7%
$240K
$1,360
0.88%
Memphis, TN
4.3%
$240K
$1,420
1.48%
Norman, OK
4.8%
$240K
$1,360
0.86%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in San Angelo?
Home values in San Angelo have been appreciating at 2.7% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $240K home would be worth approximately $274K in 5 years.
Is San Angelo a growing city?
San Angelo's population of 50,000 is growing at 1.8% per year. This rapid growth drives housing demand and supports both rent increases and price appreciation.
What is the best investment strategy for San Angelo?
In San Angelo, pure cash flow is tight at 3.79%. Consider appreciation-focused strategies, house hacking, or targeting below-median properties where rent-to-price ratios are stronger.
How does San Angelo compare to other South cities?
Among South markets, San Angelo's 3.79% cap rate is below the Texas average of 3.89%. Prices at $240K are below the state average of $264K. See our comparison tool to evaluate San Angelo against specific markets.
Full San Angelo Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore San Angelo & Related Markets

More San Angelo Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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