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Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Atchison, KS

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Atchison, KS

Cap Rate
5.74%
Median Price
$175K
Rent/Mo
$1,220
1% Rule
0.70%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Atchison, KS have appreciated at 2.5% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Atchison continues appreciating at 2.5% annually, the current median of $175,000 would reach approximately $197,996 in 5 years — an equity gain of $22,996 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $35,000, that represents a 66% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $50,245, the projected total return is $73,241 — a 209% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Atchison's population growth of 0.7% is moderate and positive, supporting steady but not explosive demand for housing. Markets with this growth profile tend to appreciate consistently without the boom-bust cycles of hyper-growth metros.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Atchison, the 5.74% cap rate provides strong ongoing cash flow, while 2.5% annual appreciation adds an equity component. The strong cash flow here means your returns are mostly realized as income rather than paper equity — a more conservative and predictable return profile.

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How Atchison Compares

Atchison vs Kansas state average and national average across key investment metrics. Atchison outperforms both benchmarks on cap rate.

Metric
Atchison
Kansas Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
5.74%
3.83%
3.81%
Median Price
$175K
$212K
$333K
Median Rent
$1,220
$1,076
$1,524
Property Tax
1.38%
1.38%
1.08%
Vacancy
5.3%
5.3%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
0.7%/yr
0.7%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby Midwest Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Atchison, KS
5.7%
$175K
$1,220
1.38%
Bay City, MI
6.0%
$175K
$1,280
1.46%
Dixon, IL
3.7%
$175K
$1,020
2.06%
Salina, KS
4.8%
$175K
$1,070
1.38%
Ashtabula, OH
4.2%
$170K
$1,000
1.58%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Atchison?
Home values in Atchison have been appreciating at 2.5% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $175K home would be worth approximately $198K in 5 years.
Is Atchison a growing city?
Atchison's population of 50,000 is growing at 0.7% per year. Moderate growth provides stable demand without overheating.
What is the best investment strategy for Atchison?
Atchison's 5.74% cap rate and moderate growth make it a balanced market. Look for value-add properties below median where you can force appreciation through renovation while capturing cash flow.
How does Atchison compare to other Midwest cities?
Among Midwest markets, Atchison's 5.74% cap rate exceeds the Kansas average of 3.83%. Prices at $175K are below the state average of $212K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Atchison against specific markets.
Full Atchison Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Atchison & Related Markets

More Atchison Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

Similar Markets in the Midwest

Duluth, MN$250K · $1,680/mo
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Marion, OH$170K · $1,240/mo
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Bay City, MI$175K · $1,280/mo
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Great Bend, KS$120K · $810/mo
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Pittsburg, KS$130K · $940/mo
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