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Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Bellefontaine, OH

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Bellefontaine, OH

Cap Rate
3.12%
Median Price
$240K
Rent/Mo
$1,180
1% Rule
0.49%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Bellefontaine, OH have appreciated at 2.2% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Bellefontaine continues appreciating at 2.2% annually, the current median of $240,000 would reach approximately $267,587 in 5 years — an equity gain of $27,587 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $48,000, that represents a 57% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $37,496, the projected total return is $65,083 — a 136% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Population growth in Bellefontaine is minimal at 0.2%. Appreciation here is more likely driven by regional economic factors, inflation, and housing stock constraints rather than population-driven demand.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Bellefontaine, the 3.12% cap rate provides modest ongoing cash flow, while 2.2% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

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How Bellefontaine Compares

Bellefontaine vs Ohio state average and national average across key investment metrics. Bellefontaine's cap rate is below both benchmarks — deal sourcing is critical here.

Metric
Bellefontaine
Ohio Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
3.12%
3.65%
3.81%
Median Price
$240K
$218K
$333K
Median Rent
$1,180
$1,149
$1,524
Property Tax
1.58%
1.58%
1.08%
Vacancy
6.7%
6.7%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
0.2%/yr
0.2%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby Midwest Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Bellefontaine, OH
3.1%
$240K
$1,180
1.58%
Lansing, MI
4.0%
$240K
$1,330
1.42%
Cleveland, OH
4.0%
$240K
$1,390
1.63%
Muskegon, MI
3.2%
$240K
$1,170
1.46%
Urbana, OH
2.0%
$240K
$950
1.58%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Bellefontaine?
Home values in Bellefontaine have been appreciating at 2.2% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $240K home would be worth approximately $268K in 5 years.
Is Bellefontaine a growing city?
Bellefontaine's population of 50,000 is growing at 0.2% per year. Slow growth means demand is stable but not increasing rapidly.
What is the best investment strategy for Bellefontaine?
In Bellefontaine, pure cash flow is tight at 3.12%. Consider appreciation-focused strategies, house hacking, or targeting below-median properties where rent-to-price ratios are stronger.
How does Bellefontaine compare to other Midwest cities?
Among Midwest markets, Bellefontaine's 3.12% cap rate is below the Ohio average of 3.65%. Prices at $240K are above the state average of $218K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Bellefontaine against specific markets.
Full Bellefontaine Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Bellefontaine & Related Markets

More Bellefontaine Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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