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Lansing, MI Cap Rate: 4.00% — Rental Property Analysis

Lansing is the under-discussed Michigan market — Ann Arbor gets the editorial attention, Detroit gets the cash-flow story, and Lansing quietly produces some of the more interesting risk-adjusted math because of an unusual three-anchor employment base. The 4.00% cap rate at a $240,000 median price keeps the 0.55% rent-to-price ratio closer to functional than Ann Arbor. Population growth at 0.3%/yr is essentially flat — Lansing has been losing population in some submarkets to suburban East Lansing and Okemos.

Employment is anchored by Michigan State University (the state's Big Ten land-grant with ~50K students plus the Spartan Health system and the broader research-and-medical complex — the campus is across the river in East Lansing but the metro economy is integrated), Michigan state government (Lansing is the state capital — federal, state, and local government collectively a major employer), General Motors Lansing Delta Township Assembly and Lansing Grand River Assembly (GM still has meaningful presence here, building the Cadillac CT4/CT5 and Camaro lines historically), Auto-Owners Insurance (HQ), Sparrow Health System, Jackson National Life Insurance, and a meaningful supplier base tied to both GM and the broader Michigan auto economy. Submarkets stratify cleanly: East Lansing (MSU-adjacent) has walkable student-and-professional rentals with operational complexity; Okemos is the premium school-district suburban zone; Eastwood and the Lansing eastside have gentrifying mixed inventory; the Lansing westside and parts of the south side offer deeper-value workforce inventory.

Michigan property tax at 1.42% is moderate but the Proposal A cap-and-reset structure means new buyers don't inherit seller's lower assessment — model carefully. Michigan state income tax is a flat ~4.25%. Insurance is reasonable. The structural risks: GM concentration matters (any future EV transition decisions affecting Lansing's assembly plants would ripple), MSU student-market dynamics produce summer vacancy in campus-adjacent inventory, and the Lansing proper population trajectory is concerning even as the broader metro stays flat. The structural advantage: the MSU + state government + GM + insurance employer mix is genuinely diversified for a metro this size. For investors who want Michigan exposure with three independent employer anchors rather than the auto-only dependency of Flint or the all-tech-bet of Ann Arbor, Lansing is the most defensible option.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Challenging for pure cash flow
Based on $240,000 median price and $1,330/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
4.00%
1% Rule
0.55%
Fails
GRM
15.0x
Price / Income
5.7x

Market Data

Median Home Price$240,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,330
Property Tax Rate1.42%
Population112,020
Population Growth0.3% / yr
Median Household Income$41,800
Vacancy Rate6.5%
Annual Appreciation2.3%

2026 Market Update: Lansing

Lansing's 0.6% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $240,000, the $1,330/mo rent produces only $800/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($48K at 7%) would result in approximately $-477/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

Property taxes consume 21% of gross rent here — one of the highest ratios in our dataset. This significantly compresses margins and makes Lansing a market where tax-conscious underwriting is essential. Every deal should be stress-tested with potential assessment increases.

Deal Modeling & Scenarios for Lansing

All figures below are computed from Lansing's real market medians. Use them as a baseline; override with property-specific numbers in the calculators.

Property Tax Bill in Real Dollars

Annual$3,408
Monthly$284
% of Gross Rent21.4%

At 1.42% effective rate on the $240,000 median price, the annual tax bill is $3,408 — that's above national average (+34% vs the national average of ~1.06%). Verify the actual assessed value before purchase; sale-triggered reassessments can push the bill higher than the seller's current statement.

5-Year Cap Rate Trajectory

If Lansing continues appreciating at 2.3%/yr while rents grow at a conservative 3%/yr, cap rate holds roughly steady as price growth outpaces rent. Year-by-year projection at the median:

YearEst. PriceEst. Rent/MoCap Rate
Today$240K$1,3304.0%
Year 1$246K$1,3704.0%
Year 2$251K$1,4114.1%
Year 3$257K$1,4534.1%
Year 4$263K$1,4974.1%
Year 5$269K$1,5424.1%

Three Financing Scenarios

Same median-priced Lansing property — different capital structures. All-cash maximizes cap rate. Leverage trades cash flow for higher cash-on-cash return when the spread between cap rate and borrowing cost is positive.

ScenarioCash InvestedMonthly Cash FlowAnnual CFCash-on-Cash
All cash$240K$800$9,5954.0%
20% down conventional @ 7%$55K$-477$-5,727-10.4%
25% down DSCR @ 8.5%$70K$-585$-7,016-10.1%

Three Price Tiers: Below, At, and Above the Median

Properties don't always trade at the median. Lower-priced units typically offer higher cap rates but harder operations; higher-priced properties tend to compress cap rates while attracting better tenants. All-cash assumptions below:

TierPriceRent/MoNOI/YrCap RateMonthly CF
Below median (~75% price)$180K$1,131$7,2424.0%$604
At median$240K$1,330$8,0013.3%$667
Above median (~125% price)$300K$1,529$8,7602.9%$730

Total Return Over a 5-Year Hold

Cap rate is just one piece. Real estate returns come from four sources: cash flow, appreciation, principal paydown, and tax benefits. Assuming 20% down conventional financing at 7% and a 5-year hold at Lansing's historical appreciation rate of 2.3%:

Cash Flow (5yr)$-28,635
Appreciation$29K
Principal Paydown$14K
Total Return$15K

On a $48K down payment, that's a 30.6% total ROI over 5 years (not annualized). Tax benefits from depreciation are additional and depend on your personal tax bracket.

Risk Flags Specific to Lansing

Automated checks against the underlying data — surface only the risks that actually apply to Lansing, not generic boilerplate:

Worth notingProperty tax rate of 1.42% is above national average. Verify the assessed value before purchase — sale-triggered reassessments can push your actual bill up.
Watch closelyRent-to-price ratio of 0.55% is well below the 1% rule. Achieving positive cash flow at median prices requires below-market purchases, larger down payments, or value-add strategies.

Cap Rate Calculator — Lansing

Pre-filled with Lansing medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
1.42% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
3.20%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$7,687
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
15.0x
High (>15)
1% Rule
0.55%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$641
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$15,960
Less Vacancy−$1,037
Effective Income$14,923
Less Operating Expenses−$7,236
Net Operating Income$7,687
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Lansing

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Lansing.

$
$60,000
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-7.19%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$67,200
$60,000 down + $7,200 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$1,173
on $180K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-402
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-4,830
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,330
Less Expenses−$559
Less Mortgage−$1,173
Monthly Cash Flow$-402

Is Lansing a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Lansing, MI has a population of 112,020 and has been growing at 0.3% annually — roughly in line with national trends, meaning demand is stable but not exceptional. The median home price of $240,000 paired with median rents of $1,330/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 4.00%.

Property taxes at 1.42% fall within the national average range and shouldn't present unusual challenges. The vacancy rate of 6.5% is moderate and within normal parameters for a healthy rental market.

At a price-to-income ratio of 5.7x, homes cost about 5.7 times the local median income of $41,800. This moderate ratio indicates a balanced rent-vs-buy market. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.3% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: At current median prices, Lansing is challenging for pure cash flow investing. Consider BRRRR strategies with below-market purchases, or look at neighboring metros with stronger price-to-rent ratios.

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