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Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Daytona Beach, FL

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Daytona Beach, FL

Cap Rate
4.61%
Median Price
$325K
Rent/Mo
$1,790
1% Rule
0.55%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Daytona Beach, FL have appreciated at 3.5% per year. This is roughly in line with or slightly above the national average, providing steady equity building without the volatility of boom markets. At 3.5% per year, the $325,000 median gains about $11,375 annually in value.

5-Year Price Projection

If Daytona Beach continues appreciating at 3.5% annually, the current median of $325,000 would reach approximately $385,998 in 5 years — an equity gain of $60,998 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $65,000, that represents a 94% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $74,843, the projected total return is $135,841 — a 209% cumulative return on the initial investment. That breaks down to roughly 42% per year on your cash invested. Cash flow is the dominant return component, contributing 55% of total returns — a more conservative and predictable return profile.

Growth Drivers

Daytona Beach's population growth of 1.5% is moderate and positive, supporting steady but not explosive demand for housing. That translates to approximately 1,143 new residents annually. Markets with this growth profile tend to appreciate consistently without the boom-bust cycles of hyper-growth metros. Local incomes of $42,800 are moderate, meaning appreciation is more likely to be gradual than explosive.

Risk Factors

While Daytona Beach's 1.5% growth rate is healthy, risks still exist. The $325,000 price point provides some downside protection, as affordable markets historically experience smaller percentage declines during corrections. Interest rate changes also matter: a 2-point rate increase reduces buyer purchasing power by roughly 20%, which directly impacts resale values. Always stress-test your investment against a 15-20% value decline scenario.

BRRRR Opportunity

The BRRRR strategy (Buy, Rehab, Rent, Refinance, Repeat) is challenging in Daytona Beach due to the higher price point of $325,000. Rehab costs of $65,000 on top of a $227,500 distressed purchase means $292,500 all-in. The math works only if the ARV supports a refinance that returns most of your capital. The 3.5% annual appreciation provides a tailwind — even properties that do not fully cash out at refinance will grow into profitability as values rise.

10-Year Wealth Projection

Over a 10-year hold on a $325,000 Daytona Beach rental purchased with 20% down ($65,000), wealth accumulates from three sources. First, appreciation: at 3.5% annually, the property reaches $458,445, producing $133,445 in equity gain. Second, cash flow: after debt service of approximately $20,748/yr, net cash flow totals roughly $-57,794 over 10 years (before any rent increases). Third, loan paydown: your tenants' rent payments reduce the mortgage principal by approximately $33,800 over 10 years. Total wealth created: approximately $109,451 on an initial investment of $65,000. That is a 168% total return, or roughly 10% annualized. These returns illustrate how rental property builds wealth through multiple simultaneous channels. These projections assume constant appreciation and do not account for rent growth, which would improve cash flow over time.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Daytona Beach, the 4.61% cap rate provides moderate ongoing cash flow, while 3.5% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as upside. The key question for Daytona Beach is your time horizon: plan for a 7-10 year hold to maximize total returns through compounding cash flow and gradual equity building.

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How Daytona Beach Compares

Daytona Beach vs Florida state average and national average across key investment metrics. Daytona Beach beats the national average but trails the Florida average on cap rate.

Metric
Daytona Beach
Florida Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
4.61%
4.63%
3.81%
Median Price
$325K
$364K
$333K
Median Rent
$1,790
$1,950
$1,524
Property Tax
0.84%
0.86%
1.08%
Vacancy
5.5%
5.2%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
1.5%/yr
1.9%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby South Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Daytona Beach, FL
4.6%
$325K
$1,790
0.84%
Midland, TX
3.1%
$325K
$1,580
1.59%
Deltona, FL
4.6%
$325K
$1,790
0.87%
Shelbyville, TN
4.3%
$325K
$1,650
0.65%
Lexington, KY
3.6%
$320K
$1,480
0.81%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Daytona Beach?
Home values in Daytona Beach have been appreciating at 3.5% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $325K home would be worth approximately $386K in 5 years.
Is Daytona Beach a growing city?
Daytona Beach's population of 76,200 is growing at 1.5% per year. Moderate growth provides stable demand without overheating.
What is the best investment strategy for Daytona Beach?
Daytona Beach's 4.61% cap rate and strong growth make it a balanced market. Look for value-add properties below median where you can force appreciation through renovation while capturing cash flow.
How does Daytona Beach compare to other South cities?
Among South markets, Daytona Beach's 4.61% cap rate is below the Florida average of 4.63%. Prices at $325K are below the state average of $364K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Daytona Beach against specific markets.
Full Daytona Beach Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Daytona Beach & Related Markets

More Daytona Beach Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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