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Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Des Moines, IA

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Des Moines, IA

Cap Rate
2.59%
Median Price
$290K
Rent/Mo
$1,260
1% Rule
0.43%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Des Moines, IA have appreciated at 2.7% per year. Appreciation is modest at 2.7%, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns rather than speculative price appreciation.

5-Year Price Projection

If Des Moines continues appreciating at 2.7% annually, the current median of $290,000 would reach approximately $331,322 in 5 years — an equity gain of $41,322 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $58,000, that represents a 71% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $37,575, the projected total return is $78,897 — a 136% cumulative return on the initial investment. That breaks down to roughly 27% per year on your cash invested. Appreciation is the dominant return component here, contributing 52% of total returns.

Growth Drivers

Des Moines's population growth of 0.7% is moderate and positive, supporting steady but not explosive demand for housing. That translates to approximately 1,499 new residents annually. Markets with this growth profile tend to appreciate consistently without the boom-bust cycles of hyper-growth metros. Local incomes of $56,200 are moderate, meaning appreciation is more likely to be gradual than explosive.

Risk Factors

While Des Moines's 0.7% growth rate is healthy, risks still exist. The $290,000 price point provides some downside protection, as affordable markets historically experience smaller percentage declines during corrections. Interest rate changes also matter: a 2-point rate increase reduces buyer purchasing power by roughly 20%, which directly impacts resale values. Always stress-test your investment against a 15-20% value decline scenario.

BRRRR Opportunity

The BRRRR strategy (Buy, Rehab, Rent, Refinance, Repeat) is workable in Des Moines for investors with rehab experience. Target distressed properties at $203,000 or below, budget $58,000 for rehab, and aim for an ARV of $333,500. The key metric is whether a 75% LTV cash-out refinance ($250,125) covers your all-in cost. With modest 2.7% appreciation, the BRRRR math must work at today's values — do not count on future appreciation to bail out a thin deal.

10-Year Wealth Projection

Over a 10-year hold on a $290,000 Des Moines rental purchased with 20% down ($58,000), wealth accumulates from three sources. First, appreciation: at 2.7% annually, the property reaches $378,532, producing $88,532 in equity gain. Second, cash flow: after debt service of approximately $18,514/yr, net cash flow totals roughly $-109,990 over 10 years (before any rent increases). Third, loan paydown: your tenants' rent payments reduce the mortgage principal by approximately $30,160 over 10 years. Total wealth created: approximately $8,702 on an initial investment of $58,000. That is a 15% total return, or roughly 1% annualized. These returns illustrate how rental property builds wealth through multiple simultaneous channels. These projections assume constant appreciation and do not account for rent growth, which would improve cash flow over time.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Des Moines, the 2.59% cap rate provides modest ongoing cash flow, while 2.7% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as upside. The key question for Des Moines is your time horizon: plan for a 7-10 year hold to maximize total returns through compounding cash flow and gradual equity building.

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How Des Moines Compares

Des Moines vs Iowa state average and national average across key investment metrics. Des Moines's cap rate is below both benchmarks — deal sourcing is critical here.

Metric
Des Moines
Iowa Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
2.59%
3.14%
3.81%
Median Price
$290K
$214K
$333K
Median Rent
$1,260
$1,010
$1,524
Property Tax
1.52%
1.51%
1.08%
Vacancy
5.8%
5.6%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
0.7%/yr
0.4%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby Midwest Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Des Moines, IA
2.6%
$290K
$1,260
1.52%
Bloomington, IN
4.2%
$290K
$1,480
0.83%
Iowa City, IA
2.9%
$290K
$1,320
1.48%
Oshkosh, WI
1.6%
$290K
$1,100
1.88%
Owatonna, MN
2.5%
$290K
$1,130
1.12%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Des Moines?
Home values in Des Moines have been appreciating at 2.7% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $290K home would be worth approximately $331K in 5 years.
Is Des Moines a growing city?
Des Moines's population of 214,133 is growing at 0.7% per year. Moderate growth provides stable demand without overheating.
What is the best investment strategy for Des Moines?
In Des Moines, pure cash flow is tight at 2.59%. Consider appreciation-focused strategies, house hacking, or targeting below-median properties where rent-to-price ratios are stronger.
How does Des Moines compare to other Midwest cities?
Among Midwest markets, Des Moines's 2.59% cap rate is below the Iowa average of 3.14%. Prices at $290K are above the state average of $214K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Des Moines against specific markets.
Full Des Moines Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Des Moines & Related Markets

More Des Moines Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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