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Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Dyersburg, TN

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Dyersburg, TN

Cap Rate
4.65%
Median Price
$165K
Rent/Mo
$890
1% Rule
0.54%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Dyersburg, TN have appreciated at 3.1% per year. This is roughly in line with or slightly above the national average, providing steady equity building without the volatility of boom markets. At 3.1% per year, the $165,000 median gains about $5,115 annually in value.

5-Year Price Projection

If Dyersburg continues appreciating at 3.1% annually, the current median of $165,000 would reach approximately $192,211 in 5 years — an equity gain of $27,211 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $33,000, that represents a 82% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $38,394, the projected total return is $65,605 — a 199% cumulative return on the initial investment. That breaks down to roughly 40% per year on your cash invested. Cash flow is the dominant return component, contributing 59% of total returns — a more conservative and predictable return profile.

Growth Drivers

Dyersburg's population is growing at 1.6% annually — well above the US average of approximately 0.5%. Rapid population growth is the single strongest predictor of sustained home price appreciation because it creates persistent demand pressure. That 1.6% growth adds roughly 800 new residents per year, each needing housing. Local incomes of $53,744 are moderate, meaning appreciation is more likely to be gradual than explosive.

Risk Factors

While Dyersburg's 1.6% growth rate is healthy, risks still exist. The $165,000 price point provides some downside protection, as affordable markets historically experience smaller percentage declines during corrections. Interest rate changes also matter: a 2-point rate increase reduces buyer purchasing power by roughly 20%, which directly impacts resale values. Always stress-test your investment against a 15-20% value decline scenario.

BRRRR Opportunity

The BRRRR strategy (Buy, Rehab, Rent, Refinance, Repeat) is workable in Dyersburg for investors with rehab experience. Target distressed properties at $115,500 or below, budget $33,000 for rehab, and aim for an ARV of $189,750. The key metric is whether a 75% LTV cash-out refinance ($142,313) covers your all-in cost. The 3.1% annual appreciation provides a tailwind — even properties that do not fully cash out at refinance will grow into profitability as values rise.

10-Year Wealth Projection

Over a 10-year hold on a $165,000 Dyersburg rental purchased with 20% down ($33,000), wealth accumulates from three sources. First, appreciation: at 3.1% annually, the property reaches $223,909, producing $58,909 in equity gain. Second, cash flow: after debt service of approximately $10,534/yr, net cash flow totals roughly $-28,553 over 10 years (before any rent increases). Third, loan paydown: your tenants' rent payments reduce the mortgage principal by approximately $17,160 over 10 years. Total wealth created: approximately $47,516 on an initial investment of $33,000. That is a 144% total return, or roughly 9% annualized. These returns illustrate how rental property builds wealth through multiple simultaneous channels. These projections assume constant appreciation and do not account for rent growth, which would improve cash flow over time.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Dyersburg, the 4.65% cap rate provides moderate ongoing cash flow, while 3.1% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as upside. The key question for Dyersburg is your time horizon: plan for a 7-10 year hold to maximize total returns through compounding cash flow and gradual equity building.

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How Dyersburg Compares

Dyersburg vs Tennessee state average and national average across key investment metrics. Dyersburg outperforms both benchmarks on cap rate.

Metric
Dyersburg
Tennessee Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
4.65%
4.12%
3.81%
Median Price
$165K
$297K
$333K
Median Rent
$890
$1,419
$1,524
Property Tax
0.65%
0.65%
1.08%
Vacancy
5.7%
5.7%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
1.6%/yr
1.6%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby South Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Dyersburg, TN
4.7%
$165K
$890
0.65%
Dublin, GA
5.3%
$165K
$1,030
0.93%
Parkersburg, WV
4.8%
$165K
$920
0.58%
Vidalia, GA
7.8%
$165K
$1,400
0.93%
Waycross, GA
6.4%
$165K
$1,190
0.93%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Dyersburg?
Home values in Dyersburg have been appreciating at 3.1% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $165K home would be worth approximately $192K in 5 years.
Is Dyersburg a growing city?
Dyersburg's population of 50,000 is growing at 1.6% per year. This rapid growth drives housing demand and supports both rent increases and price appreciation.
What is the best investment strategy for Dyersburg?
Dyersburg's 4.65% cap rate and strong growth make it a balanced market. Look for value-add properties below median where you can force appreciation through renovation while capturing cash flow.
How does Dyersburg compare to other South cities?
Among South markets, Dyersburg's 4.65% cap rate exceeds the Tennessee average of 4.12%. Prices at $165K are below the state average of $297K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Dyersburg against specific markets.
Full Dyersburg Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

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More Dyersburg Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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