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Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Emporia, KS

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Emporia, KS

Cap Rate
2.68%
Median Price
$180K
Rent/Mo
$770
1% Rule
0.43%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Emporia, KS have appreciated at 2.5% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Emporia continues appreciating at 2.5% annually, the current median of $180,000 would reach approximately $203,653 in 5 years — an equity gain of $23,653 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $36,000, that represents a 66% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $24,131, the projected total return is $47,784 — a 133% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Emporia's population growth of 0.7% is moderate and positive, supporting steady but not explosive demand for housing. Markets with this growth profile tend to appreciate consistently without the boom-bust cycles of hyper-growth metros.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Emporia, the 2.68% cap rate provides modest ongoing cash flow, while 2.5% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

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How Emporia Compares

Emporia vs Kansas state average and national average across key investment metrics. Emporia's cap rate is below both benchmarks — deal sourcing is critical here.

Metric
Emporia
Kansas Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
2.68%
3.83%
3.81%
Median Price
$180K
$212K
$333K
Median Rent
$770
$1,076
$1,524
Property Tax
1.38%
1.38%
1.08%
Vacancy
5.3%
5.3%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
0.7%/yr
0.7%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby Midwest Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Emporia, KS
2.7%
$180K
$770
1.38%
Battle Creek, MI
4.9%
$180K
$1,150
1.46%
Fairfield, IA
2.8%
$180K
$810
1.51%
Kirksville, MO
4.0%
$180K
$970
1.25%
Lima, OH
4.9%
$180K
$1,170
1.58%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Emporia?
Home values in Emporia have been appreciating at 2.5% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $180K home would be worth approximately $204K in 5 years.
Is Emporia a growing city?
Emporia's population of 50,000 is growing at 0.7% per year. Moderate growth provides stable demand without overheating.
What is the best investment strategy for Emporia?
In Emporia, pure cash flow is tight at 2.68%. Consider appreciation-focused strategies, house hacking, or targeting below-median properties where rent-to-price ratios are stronger.
How does Emporia compare to other Midwest cities?
Among Midwest markets, Emporia's 2.68% cap rate is below the Kansas average of 3.83%. Prices at $180K are below the state average of $212K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Emporia against specific markets.
Full Emporia Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Emporia & Related Markets

More Emporia Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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