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MarketsWisconsinOshkoshAppreciation & Growth Forecast

Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Oshkosh, WI

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Oshkosh, WI

Cap Rate
1.62%
Median Price
$290K
Rent/Mo
$1,100
1% Rule
0.38%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Oshkosh, WI have appreciated at 2.4% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Oshkosh continues appreciating at 2.4% annually, the current median of $290,000 would reach approximately $326,511 in 5 years — an equity gain of $36,511 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $58,000, that represents a 63% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $23,510, the projected total return is $60,021 — a 103% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Population growth in Oshkosh is minimal at 0.5%. Appreciation here is more likely driven by regional economic factors, inflation, and housing stock constraints rather than population-driven demand.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Oshkosh, the 1.62% cap rate provides modest ongoing cash flow, while 2.4% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

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How Oshkosh Compares

Oshkosh vs Wisconsin state average and national average across key investment metrics. Oshkosh's cap rate is below both benchmarks — deal sourcing is critical here.

Metric
Oshkosh
Wisconsin Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
1.62%
1.83%
3.81%
Median Price
$290K
$309K
$333K
Median Rent
$1,100
$1,223
$1,524
Property Tax
1.88%
1.88%
1.08%
Vacancy
5.5%
5.5%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
0.5%/yr
0.5%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby Midwest Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Oshkosh, WI
1.6%
$290K
$1,100
1.88%
Des Moines, IA
2.6%
$290K
$1,260
1.52%
Bloomington, IN
4.2%
$290K
$1,480
0.83%
Iowa City, IA
2.9%
$290K
$1,320
1.48%
Owatonna, MN
2.5%
$290K
$1,130
1.12%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Oshkosh?
Home values in Oshkosh have been appreciating at 2.4% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $290K home would be worth approximately $327K in 5 years.
Is Oshkosh a growing city?
Oshkosh's population of 50,000 is growing at 0.5% per year. Slow growth means demand is stable but not increasing rapidly.
What is the best investment strategy for Oshkosh?
In Oshkosh, pure cash flow is tight at 1.62%. Consider appreciation-focused strategies, house hacking, or targeting below-median properties where rent-to-price ratios are stronger.
How does Oshkosh compare to other Midwest cities?
Among Midwest markets, Oshkosh's 1.62% cap rate is below the Wisconsin average of 1.83%. Prices at $290K are below the state average of $309K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Oshkosh against specific markets.
Full Oshkosh Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Oshkosh & Related Markets

More Oshkosh Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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