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Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Port Angeles, WA

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Port Angeles, WA

Cap Rate
2.85%
Median Price
$485K
Rent/Mo
$1,940
1% Rule
0.40%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Port Angeles, WA have appreciated at 2.8% per year. Appreciation is modest at 2.8%, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns rather than speculative price appreciation.

5-Year Price Projection

If Port Angeles continues appreciating at 2.8% annually, the current median of $485,000 would reach approximately $556,810 in 5 years — an equity gain of $71,810 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $97,000, that represents a 74% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $69,093, the projected total return is $140,903 — a 145% cumulative return on the initial investment. That breaks down to roughly 29% per year on your cash invested. Appreciation is the dominant return component here, contributing 51% of total returns.

Growth Drivers

Port Angeles's population growth of 1.1% is moderate and positive, supporting steady but not explosive demand for housing. That translates to approximately 550 new residents annually. Markets with this growth profile tend to appreciate consistently without the boom-bust cycles of hyper-growth metros. Higher-than-average local incomes ($62,750) support continued price growth as more residents can afford to bid up properties and qualify for larger mortgages.

Risk Factors

While Port Angeles's 1.1% growth rate is healthy, risks still exist. Higher-priced markets like Port Angeles ($485,000 median) have more downside volatility — during the 2008 crisis, expensive metros saw 30-50% peak-to-trough declines. Interest rate changes also matter: a 2-point rate increase reduces buyer purchasing power by roughly 20%, which directly impacts resale values. Always stress-test your investment against a 15-20% value decline scenario.

BRRRR Opportunity

The BRRRR strategy (Buy, Rehab, Rent, Refinance, Repeat) is challenging in Port Angeles due to the higher price point of $485,000. Rehab costs of $97,000 on top of a $339,500 distressed purchase means $436,500 all-in. The math works only if the ARV supports a refinance that returns most of your capital. With modest 2.8% appreciation, the BRRRR math must work at today's values — do not count on future appreciation to bail out a thin deal.

10-Year Wealth Projection

Over a 10-year hold on a $485,000 Port Angeles rental purchased with 20% down ($97,000), wealth accumulates from three sources. First, appreciation: at 2.8% annually, the property reaches $639,253, producing $154,253 in equity gain. Second, cash flow: after debt service of approximately $30,962/yr, net cash flow totals roughly $-171,434 over 10 years (before any rent increases). Third, loan paydown: your tenants' rent payments reduce the mortgage principal by approximately $50,440 over 10 years. Total wealth created: approximately $33,259 on an initial investment of $97,000. That is a 34% total return, or roughly 3% annualized. These returns illustrate how rental property builds wealth through multiple simultaneous channels. These projections assume constant appreciation and do not account for rent growth, which would improve cash flow over time.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Port Angeles, the 2.85% cap rate provides modest ongoing cash flow, while 2.8% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as upside. The key question for Port Angeles is your time horizon: plan for a 7-10 year hold to maximize total returns through compounding cash flow and gradual equity building.

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How Port Angeles Compares

Port Angeles vs Washington state average and national average across key investment metrics. Port Angeles's cap rate is below both benchmarks — deal sourcing is critical here.

Metric
Port Angeles
Washington Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
2.85%
2.43%
3.81%
Median Price
$485K
$485K
$333K
Median Rent
$1,940
$1,726
$1,524
Property Tax
0.93%
0.93%
1.08%
Vacancy
4.6%
4.6%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
1.1%/yr
1.1%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby West Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Port Angeles, WA
2.8%
$485K
$1,940
0.93%
Nampa, ID
2.7%
$485K
$1,760
0.65%
Boise, ID
2.8%
$485K
$1,760
0.63%
Meridian, ID
2.8%
$485K
$1,760
0.62%
Boise City, ID
2.7%
$485K
$1,760
0.64%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Port Angeles?
Home values in Port Angeles have been appreciating at 2.8% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $485K home would be worth approximately $557K in 5 years.
Is Port Angeles a growing city?
Port Angeles's population of 50,000 is growing at 1.1% per year. Moderate growth provides stable demand without overheating.
What is the best investment strategy for Port Angeles?
In Port Angeles, pure cash flow is tight at 2.85%. Consider appreciation-focused strategies, house hacking, or targeting below-median properties where rent-to-price ratios are stronger.
How does Port Angeles compare to other West cities?
Among West markets, Port Angeles's 2.85% cap rate exceeds the Washington average of 2.43%. Prices at $485K are below the state average of $485K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Port Angeles against specific markets.
Full Port Angeles Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Port Angeles & Related Markets

More Port Angeles Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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