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Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Rock Springs, WY

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Rock Springs, WY

Cap Rate
2.70%
Median Price
$285K
Rent/Mo
$1,030
1% Rule
0.36%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Rock Springs, WY have appreciated at 2.4% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Rock Springs continues appreciating at 2.4% annually, the current median of $285,000 would reach approximately $320,881 in 5 years — an equity gain of $35,881 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $57,000, that represents a 63% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $38,494, the projected total return is $74,375 — a 130% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Rock Springs's population growth of 0.8% is moderate and positive, supporting steady but not explosive demand for housing. Markets with this growth profile tend to appreciate consistently without the boom-bust cycles of hyper-growth metros.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Rock Springs, the 2.70% cap rate provides modest ongoing cash flow, while 2.4% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

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How Rock Springs Compares

Rock Springs vs Wyoming state average and national average across key investment metrics. Rock Springs's cap rate is below both benchmarks — deal sourcing is critical here.

Metric
Rock Springs
Wyoming Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
2.70%
2.65%
3.81%
Median Price
$285K
$477K
$333K
Median Rent
$1,030
$1,560
$1,524
Property Tax
0.61%
0.61%
1.08%
Vacancy
5.2%
5.2%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
0.8%/yr
0.8%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby West Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Rock Springs, WY
2.7%
$285K
$1,030
0.61%
Pueblo, CO
3.8%
$285K
$1,300
0.53%
Las Cruces, NM
3.7%
$285K
$1,340
0.8%
Yuma, AZ
4.2%
$280K
$1,380
0.63%
Butte, MT
4.0%
$275K
$1,320
0.76%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Rock Springs?
Home values in Rock Springs have been appreciating at 2.4% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $285K home would be worth approximately $321K in 5 years.
Is Rock Springs a growing city?
Rock Springs's population of 50,000 is growing at 0.8% per year. Moderate growth provides stable demand without overheating.
What is the best investment strategy for Rock Springs?
In Rock Springs, pure cash flow is tight at 2.70%. Consider appreciation-focused strategies, house hacking, or targeting below-median properties where rent-to-price ratios are stronger.
How does Rock Springs compare to other West cities?
Among West markets, Rock Springs's 2.70% cap rate exceeds the Wyoming average of 2.65%. Prices at $285K are below the state average of $477K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Rock Springs against specific markets.
Full Rock Springs Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Rock Springs & Related Markets

More Rock Springs Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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