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MarketsOregonRoseburgAppreciation & Growth Forecast

Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Roseburg, OR

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Roseburg, OR

Cap Rate
2.70%
Median Price
$340K
Rent/Mo
$1,320
1% Rule
0.39%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Roseburg, OR have appreciated at 2.5% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Roseburg continues appreciating at 2.5% annually, the current median of $340,000 would reach approximately $384,679 in 5 years — an equity gain of $44,679 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $68,000, that represents a 66% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $45,898, the projected total return is $90,577 — a 133% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Roseburg's population growth of 1% is moderate and positive, supporting steady but not explosive demand for housing. Markets with this growth profile tend to appreciate consistently without the boom-bust cycles of hyper-growth metros.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Roseburg, the 2.70% cap rate provides modest ongoing cash flow, while 2.5% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

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How Roseburg Compares

Roseburg vs Oregon state average and national average across key investment metrics. Roseburg's cap rate is below both benchmarks — deal sourcing is critical here.

Metric
Roseburg
Oregon Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
2.70%
2.74%
3.81%
Median Price
$340K
$438K
$333K
Median Rent
$1,320
$1,672
$1,524
Property Tax
0.94%
0.94%
1.08%
Vacancy
4.7%
4.7%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
1%/yr
1%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby West Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Roseburg, OR
2.7%
$340K
$1,320
0.94%
Tucson, AZ
3.3%
$340K
$1,450
0.72%
Albuquerque, NM
3.4%
$340K
$1,500
0.78%
Rio Rancho, NM
3.4%
$340K
$1,500
0.76%
Coos Bay, OR
4.3%
$340K
$1,780
0.94%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Roseburg?
Home values in Roseburg have been appreciating at 2.5% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $340K home would be worth approximately $385K in 5 years.
Is Roseburg a growing city?
Roseburg's population of 50,000 is growing at 1% per year. Moderate growth provides stable demand without overheating.
What is the best investment strategy for Roseburg?
In Roseburg, pure cash flow is tight at 2.70%. Consider appreciation-focused strategies, house hacking, or targeting below-median properties where rent-to-price ratios are stronger.
How does Roseburg compare to other West cities?
Among West markets, Roseburg's 2.70% cap rate is below the Oregon average of 2.74%. Prices at $340K are below the state average of $438K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Roseburg against specific markets.
Full Roseburg Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Roseburg & Related Markets

More Roseburg Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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