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MarketsPennsylvaniaSunburyAppreciation & Growth Forecast

Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Sunbury, PA

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Sunbury, PA

Cap Rate
4.11%
Median Price
$165K
Rent/Mo
$920
1% Rule
0.56%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Sunbury, PA have appreciated at 2.3% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Sunbury continues appreciating at 2.3% annually, the current median of $165,000 would reach approximately $184,868 in 5 years — an equity gain of $19,868 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $33,000, that represents a 60% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $33,903, the projected total return is $53,771 — a 163% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Population growth in Sunbury is minimal at 0.2%. Appreciation here is more likely driven by regional economic factors, inflation, and housing stock constraints rather than population-driven demand.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Sunbury, the 4.11% cap rate provides moderate ongoing cash flow, while 2.3% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

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How Sunbury Compares

Sunbury vs Pennsylvania state average and national average across key investment metrics. Sunbury outperforms both benchmarks on cap rate.

Metric
Sunbury
Pennsylvania Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
4.11%
3.81%
3.81%
Median Price
$165K
$244K
$333K
Median Rent
$920
$1,250
$1,524
Property Tax
1.38%
1.38%
1.08%
Vacancy
6%
6%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
0.2%/yr
0.2%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby Northeast Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Sunbury, PA
4.1%
$165K
$920
1.38%
Jamestown, NY
3.8%
$165K
$930
1.71%
Meadville, PA
3.0%
$165K
$760
1.38%
Altoona, PA
4.2%
$170K
$960
1.38%
Corning, NY
6.5%
$160K
$1,280
1.71%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Sunbury?
Home values in Sunbury have been appreciating at 2.3% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $165K home would be worth approximately $185K in 5 years.
Is Sunbury a growing city?
Sunbury's population of 50,000 is growing at 0.2% per year. Slow growth means demand is stable but not increasing rapidly.
What is the best investment strategy for Sunbury?
Sunbury's 4.11% cap rate and moderate growth make it a balanced market. Look for value-add properties below median where you can force appreciation through renovation while capturing cash flow.
How does Sunbury compare to other Northeast cities?
Among Northeast markets, Sunbury's 4.11% cap rate exceeds the Pennsylvania average of 3.81%. Prices at $165K are below the state average of $244K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Sunbury against specific markets.
Full Sunbury Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Sunbury & Related Markets

More Sunbury Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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