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Jamestown, NY Cap Rate: 3.83% — Rental Property Analysis

Jamestown is one of the most affordable markets in the country in the Northeast with a small but investable metro of 50,000. At a 3.83% estimated cap rate, this is a appreciation-focused market where rents of $930/mo lag behind home prices. With a median home price of $165,000 and the population has been declining, which investors should factor into long-term projections, Jamestown is primarily an appreciation play that requires creative strategies to generate positive cash flow.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Challenging for pure cash flow
Based on $165,000 median price and $930/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
3.83%
1% Rule
0.56%
Fails
GRM
14.8x
Price / Income
3.8x

Market Data

Median Home Price$165,000
Median Monthly Rent$930
Property Tax Rate1.71%
Population50,000
Population Growth0% / yr
Median Household Income$43,975
Vacancy Rate6.3%
Annual Appreciation2.1%

2026 Market Update: Jamestown

Jamestown's 0.6% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $165,000, the $930/mo rent produces only $526/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($33K at 7%) would result in approximately $-352/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

Property taxes consume 25% of gross rent here — one of the highest ratios in our dataset. This significantly compresses margins and makes Jamestown a market where tax-conscious underwriting is essential. Every deal should be stress-tested with potential assessment increases.

Cap Rate Calculator — Jamestown

Pre-filled with Jamestown medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
1.71% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
3.01%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$4,973
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
14.8x
Good (<15)
1% Rule
0.56%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$414
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$11,160
Less Vacancy−$703
Effective Income$10,457
Less Operating Expenses−$5,484
Net Operating Income$4,973
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Jamestown

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Jamestown.

$
$41,250
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-6.95%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$46,200
$41,250 down + $4,950 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$807
on $124K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-268
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-3,213
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$930
Less Expenses−$391
Less Mortgage−$807
Monthly Cash Flow$-268

Is Jamestown a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Jamestown, NY has a population of 50,000 and has been growing at 0% annually — roughly in line with national trends, meaning demand is stable but not exceptional. The median home price of $165,000 paired with median rents of $930/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 3.83%.

Property taxes at 1.71% are notably high and represent a significant drag on cash flow — model this expense carefully, as it can make or break a deal. The vacancy rate of 6.3% is moderate and within normal parameters for a healthy rental market.

At a price-to-income ratio of 3.8x, homes cost about 3.8 times the local median income of $43,975. This relatively affordable ratio suggests a deep pool of renters who find buying out of reach, supporting rental demand. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.1% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: At current median prices, Jamestown is challenging for pure cash flow investing. Consider BRRRR strategies with below-market purchases, or look at neighboring metros with stronger price-to-rent ratios.

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