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Springfield, MA Cap Rate: 3.92% — Rental Property Analysis

Springfield is the largest metro in Western Massachusetts — meaningfully cheaper than Greater Boston (~90 miles east) with a distinct economic base anchored by Baystate Health, the MGM Springfield casino-and-entertainment complex, and a residual industrial-and-insurance economy. The 3.92% cap rate at a $360,000 median price keeps the 0.53% rent-to-price ratio close to functional. Population growth at 0.1%/yr is essentially flat.

Employment is anchored by Baystate Health (the dominant regional medical system serving Western MA and parts of CT — Baystate Medical Center is the largest private employer in Springfield), MassMutual (the major insurance company headquartered in Springfield — a Fortune 500 employer), MGM Springfield (the downtown casino-and-entertainment complex opened in 2018 — a meaningful tourism and hospitality employer for the region), the broader Mercy Medical Center and Springfield-area medical economy, Western New England University, Springfield College, American International College, the broader Hampden County government, Smith & Wesson firearms manufacturing, the broader manufacturing-and-logistics base tied to the I-91/I-90 intersection. Submarkets stratify cleanly: Forest Park and the historic Maple-High Street area are walkable urban-historic with strong appreciation; East Forest Park and the suburban Sixteen Acres area are premium suburban-school; the broader Western Mass suburbs (Longmeadow, East Longmeadow, Wilbraham) draw premium school-district family rentals; the central and northern Springfield zones offer deeper-value workforce inventory with the operational complexity that comes with older Class C housing stock.

Massachusetts property tax at 1.22% is moderate by MA standards (Springfield rates are lower than the inner-Boston suburbs). MA state income tax is graduated with the "Millionaire Tax" (4% surtax above $1M income) — landlords with substantial portfolios should plan around the bracket. Insurance is reasonable. Massachusetts landlord-tenant law leans tenant-protective with strict eviction procedures and security-deposit handling requirements — operating in MA requires comfort with the regulatory framework. The structural advantages: MassMutual + Baystate provide white-collar tenant depth unusual for Western MA; MGM Springfield has provided a sustained tourism employment boost since 2018; cost basis is materially below Greater Boston; the I-91 corridor gives access to Connecticut and broader Northeast commuting. The structural risks: MA regulatory environment is operator-unfriendly; Springfield proper has had historical population trajectory weakness; per-block variance between gentrified zones and older inner-city neighborhoods is significant; older housing stock requires honest capex assumptions. For investors who want MA exposure outside Boston pricing with a defensible employment base, Springfield is the most underrated Western MA option.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Challenging for pure cash flow
Based on $360,000 median price and $1,900/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
3.92%
1% Rule
0.53%
Fails
GRM
15.8x
Price / Income
9.0x

Market Data

Median Home Price$360,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,900
Property Tax Rate1.22%
Population155,929
Population Growth0.1% / yr
Median Household Income$40,200
Vacancy Rate6.2%
Annual Appreciation2.4%

2026 Market Update: Springfield

Springfield's 0.5% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $360,000, the $1,900/mo rent produces only $1,176/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($72K at 7%) would result in approximately $-739/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

Property taxes consume 19% of gross rent here — one of the highest ratios in our dataset. This significantly compresses margins and makes Springfield a market where tax-conscious underwriting is essential. Every deal should be stress-tested with potential assessment increases.

Deal Modeling & Scenarios for Springfield

All figures below are computed from Springfield's real market medians. Use them as a baseline; override with property-specific numbers in the calculators.

Property Tax Bill in Real Dollars

Annual$4,392
Monthly$366
% of Gross Rent19.3%

At 1.22% effective rate on the $360,000 median price, the annual tax bill is $4,392 — that's near national average (+15% vs the national average of ~1.06%). Verify the actual assessed value before purchase; sale-triggered reassessments can push the bill higher than the seller's current statement.

5-Year Cap Rate Trajectory

If Springfield continues appreciating at 2.4%/yr while rents grow at a conservative 3%/yr, cap rate holds roughly steady as price growth outpaces rent. Year-by-year projection at the median:

YearEst. PriceEst. Rent/MoCap Rate
Today$360K$1,9003.9%
Year 1$369K$1,9573.9%
Year 2$377K$2,0164.0%
Year 3$387K$2,0764.0%
Year 4$396K$2,1384.0%
Year 5$405K$2,2034.0%

Three Financing Scenarios

Same median-priced Springfield property — different capital structures. All-cash maximizes cap rate. Leverage trades cash flow for higher cash-on-cash return when the spread between cap rate and borrowing cost is positive.

ScenarioCash InvestedMonthly Cash FlowAnnual CFCash-on-Cash
All cash$360K$1,176$14,1143.9%
20% down conventional @ 7%$83K$-739$-8,868-10.7%
25% down DSCR @ 8.5%$104K$-900$-10,801-10.3%

Three Price Tiers: Below, At, and Above the Median

Properties don't always trade at the median. Lower-priced units typically offer higher cap rates but harder operations; higher-priced properties tend to compress cap rates while attracting better tenants. All-cash assumptions below:

TierPriceRent/MoNOI/YrCap RateMonthly CF
Below median (~75% price)$270K$1,615$10,7044.0%$892
At median$360K$1,900$11,9063.3%$992
Above median (~125% price)$450K$2,185$13,1092.9%$1,092

Total Return Over a 5-Year Hold

Cap rate is just one piece. Real estate returns come from four sources: cash flow, appreciation, principal paydown, and tax benefits. Assuming 20% down conventional financing at 7% and a 5-year hold at Springfield's historical appreciation rate of 2.4%:

Cash Flow (5yr)$-44,340
Appreciation$45K
Principal Paydown$22K
Total Return$23K

On a $72K down payment, that's a 31.4% total ROI over 5 years (not annualized). Tax benefits from depreciation are additional and depend on your personal tax bracket.

Risk Flags Specific to Springfield

Automated checks against the underlying data — surface only the risks that actually apply to Springfield, not generic boilerplate:

Worth notingProperty tax rate of 1.22% is above national average. Verify the assessed value before purchase — sale-triggered reassessments can push your actual bill up.
Watch closelyRent-to-price ratio of 0.53% is well below the 1% rule. Achieving positive cash flow at median prices requires below-market purchases, larger down payments, or value-add strategies.
Worth notingPrice-to-income ratio of 9.0x suggests homeownership is stretched locally — supports rental demand, but limits the buyer pool for any future exit.

Cap Rate Calculator — Springfield

Pre-filled with Springfield medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
1.22% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
3.18%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$11,450
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
15.8x
High (>15)
1% Rule
0.53%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$954
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$22,800
Less Vacancy−$1,414
Effective Income$21,386
Less Operating Expenses−$9,936
Net Operating Income$11,450
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Springfield

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Springfield.

$
$90,000
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-7.84%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$100,800
$90,000 down + $10,800 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$1,760
on $270K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-658
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-7,898
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,900
Less Expenses−$798
Less Mortgage−$1,760
Monthly Cash Flow$-658

Is Springfield a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Springfield, MA has a population of 155,929 and has been growing at 0.1% annually — roughly in line with national trends, meaning demand is stable but not exceptional. The median home price of $360,000 paired with median rents of $1,900/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 3.92%.

Property taxes at 1.22% fall within the national average range and shouldn't present unusual challenges. The vacancy rate of 6.2% is moderate and within normal parameters for a healthy rental market.

At a price-to-income ratio of 9.0x, homes cost about 9.0 times the local median income of $40,200. This elevated ratio means homeownership is stretched, supporting rental demand but limiting buyer pools. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.4% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: At current median prices, Springfield is challenging for pure cash flow investing. Consider BRRRR strategies with below-market purchases, or look at neighboring metros with stronger price-to-rent ratios.

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