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Worcester, MA Cap Rate: 3.23% — Rental Property Analysis

Worcester is a higher-priced market in the Northeast with a mid-sized city of 206,518. At a 3.23% estimated cap rate, this is a appreciation-focused market where rents of $2,120/mo lag behind home prices. With a median home price of $465,000 and steady population growth supports long-term rental demand, Worcester is primarily an appreciation play that requires creative strategies to generate positive cash flow.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Challenging for pure cash flow
Based on $465,000 median price and $2,120/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
3.23%
1% Rule
0.46%
Fails
GRM
18.3x
Price / Income
8.9x

Market Data

Median Home Price$465,000
Median Monthly Rent$2,120
Property Tax Rate1.18%
Population206,518
Population Growth0.6% / yr
Median Household Income$52,400
Vacancy Rate4.8%
Annual Appreciation3%

2026 Market Update: Worcester

Worcester's 0.5% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $465,000, the $2,120/mo rent produces only $1,251/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($93K at 7%) would result in approximately $-1,223/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

Property taxes consume 22% of gross rent here — one of the highest ratios in our dataset. This significantly compresses margins and makes Worcester a market where tax-conscious underwriting is essential. Every deal should be stress-tested with potential assessment increases.

Cap Rate Calculator — Worcester

Pre-filled with Worcester medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
1.18% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
2.64%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$12,291
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
18.3x
High (>15)
1% Rule
0.46%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$1,024
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$25,440
Less Vacancy−$1,221
Effective Income$24,219
Less Operating Expenses−$11,928
Net Operating Income$12,291
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Worcester

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Worcester.

$
$116,250
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-9.62%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$130,200
$116,250 down + $13,950 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$2,274
on $349K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-1,044
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-12,523
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$2,120
Less Expenses−$890
Less Mortgage−$2,274
Monthly Cash Flow$-1,044

Is Worcester a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Worcester, MA has a population of 206,518 and has been growing at 0.6% annually — roughly in line with national trends, meaning demand is stable but not exceptional. The median home price of $465,000 paired with median rents of $2,120/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 3.23%.

Property taxes at 1.18% fall within the national average range and shouldn't present unusual challenges. The vacancy rate of 4.8% is impressively low, indicating tight rental supply and strong tenant demand — favorable for landlords.

At a price-to-income ratio of 8.9x, homes cost about 8.9 times the local median income of $52,400. This elevated ratio means homeownership is stretched, supporting rental demand but limiting buyer pools. Home values have appreciated at roughly 3% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: At current median prices, Worcester is challenging for pure cash flow investing. Consider BRRRR strategies with below-market purchases, or look at neighboring metros with stronger price-to-rent ratios.

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