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Burlington, VT Cap Rate: 3.04% — Rental Property Analysis

Burlington is a higher-priced market in the Northeast with a small but investable metro of 45,560. At a 3.04% estimated cap rate, this is a appreciation-focused market where rents of $2,140/mo lag behind home prices. With a median home price of $455,000 and population is roughly stable, Burlington is primarily an appreciation play that requires creative strategies to generate positive cash flow.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Challenging for pure cash flow
Based on $455,000 median price and $2,140/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
3.04%
1% Rule
0.47%
Fails
GRM
17.7x
Price / Income
8.0x

Market Data

Median Home Price$455,000
Median Monthly Rent$2,140
Property Tax Rate1.59%
Population45,560
Population Growth0.3% / yr
Median Household Income$56,800
Vacancy Rate3.8%
Annual Appreciation2.5%

2026 Market Update: Burlington

Burlington's 0.5% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $455,000, the $2,140/mo rent produces only $1,152/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($91K at 7%) would result in approximately $-1,269/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

Property taxes consume 28% of gross rent here — one of the highest ratios in our dataset. This significantly compresses margins and makes Burlington a market where tax-conscious underwriting is essential. Every deal should be stress-tested with potential assessment increases.

Cap Rate Calculator — Burlington

Pre-filled with Burlington medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
1.59% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
2.42%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$11,024
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
17.7x
High (>15)
1% Rule
0.47%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$919
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$25,680
Less Vacancy−$976
Effective Income$24,704
Less Operating Expenses−$13,680
Net Operating Income$11,024
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Burlington

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Burlington.

$
$113,750
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-9.27%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$127,400
$113,750 down + $13,650 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$2,225
on $341K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-984
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-11,804
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$2,140
Less Expenses−$899
Less Mortgage−$2,225
Monthly Cash Flow$-984

Is Burlington a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Burlington, VT has a population of 45,560 and has been growing at 0.3% annually — roughly in line with national trends, meaning demand is stable but not exceptional. The median home price of $455,000 paired with median rents of $2,140/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 3.04%.

Property taxes at 1.59% are notably high and represent a significant drag on cash flow — model this expense carefully, as it can make or break a deal. The vacancy rate of 3.8% is impressively low, indicating tight rental supply and strong tenant demand — favorable for landlords.

At a price-to-income ratio of 8.0x, homes cost about 8.0 times the local median income of $56,800. This elevated ratio means homeownership is stretched, supporting rental demand but limiting buyer pools. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.5% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: At current median prices, Burlington is challenging for pure cash flow investing. Consider BRRRR strategies with below-market purchases, or look at neighboring metros with stronger price-to-rent ratios.

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