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Trenton, NJ Cap Rate: 3.47% — Rental Property Analysis

Trenton is a higher-priced market in the Northeast with a smaller market with 90,871 residents. At a 3.47% estimated cap rate, this is a appreciation-focused market where rents of $2,500/mo lag behind home prices. With a median home price of $430,000 and the population has been declining, which investors should factor into long-term projections, Trenton is primarily an appreciation play that requires creative strategies to generate positive cash flow.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Challenging for pure cash flow
Based on $430,000 median price and $2,500/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
3.47%
1% Rule
0.58%
Fails
GRM
14.3x
Price / Income
11.2x

Market Data

Median Home Price$430,000
Median Monthly Rent$2,500
Property Tax Rate2.25%
Population90,871
Population Growth-0.1% / yr
Median Household Income$38,400
Vacancy Rate6.5%
Annual Appreciation2%

2026 Market Update: Trenton

Trenton's 0.6% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $430,000, the $2,500/mo rent produces only $1,245/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($86K at 7%) would result in approximately $-1,043/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

Property taxes consume 32% of gross rent here — one of the highest ratios in our dataset. This significantly compresses margins and makes Trenton a market where tax-conscious underwriting is essential. Every deal should be stress-tested with potential assessment increases.

Cap Rate Calculator — Trenton

Pre-filled with Trenton medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
2.25% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
2.62%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$11,262
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
14.3x
Good (<15)
1% Rule
0.58%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$939
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$30,000
Less Vacancy−$1,950
Effective Income$28,050
Less Operating Expenses−$16,788
Net Operating Income$11,262
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Trenton

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Trenton.

$
$107,500
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-6.50%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$120,400
$107,500 down + $12,900 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$2,102
on $323K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-652
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-7,830
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$2,500
Less Expenses−$1,050
Less Mortgage−$2,102
Monthly Cash Flow$-652

Is Trenton a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Trenton, NJ has a population of 90,871 and has been growing at -0.1% annually — roughly in line with national trends, meaning demand is stable but not exceptional. The median home price of $430,000 paired with median rents of $2,500/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 3.47%.

Property taxes at 2.25% are notably high and represent a significant drag on cash flow — model this expense carefully, as it can make or break a deal. The vacancy rate of 6.5% is moderate and within normal parameters for a healthy rental market.

At a price-to-income ratio of 11.2x, homes cost about 11.2 times the local median income of $38,400. This elevated ratio means homeownership is stretched, supporting rental demand but limiting buyer pools. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: At current median prices, Trenton is challenging for pure cash flow investing. Consider BRRRR strategies with below-market purchases, or look at neighboring metros with stronger price-to-rent ratios.

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