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Paterson, NJ Cap Rate: 2.25% — Rental Property Analysis

Paterson is a premium-priced metro in the Northeast with a mid-sized city of 157,929. At a 2.25% estimated cap rate, this is a appreciation-focused market where rents of $3,260/mo lag behind home prices. With a median home price of $705,000 and population is roughly stable, Paterson is primarily an appreciation play that requires creative strategies to generate positive cash flow.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Challenging for pure cash flow
Based on $705,000 median price and $3,260/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
2.25%
1% Rule
0.46%
Fails
GRM
18.0x
Price / Income
19.2x

Market Data

Median Home Price$705,000
Median Monthly Rent$3,260
Property Tax Rate2.18%
Population157,929
Population Growth0.2% / yr
Median Household Income$36,800
Vacancy Rate5.8%
Annual Appreciation2.5%

2026 Market Update: Paterson

Paterson's 0.5% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $705,000, the $3,260/mo rent produces only $1,320/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($141K at 7%) would result in approximately $-2,431/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

Property taxes consume 39% of gross rent here — one of the highest ratios in our dataset. This significantly compresses margins and makes Paterson a market where tax-conscious underwriting is essential. Every deal should be stress-tested with potential assessment increases.

Cap Rate Calculator — Paterson

Pre-filled with Paterson medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
2.18% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
1.65%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$11,615
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
18.0x
High (>15)
1% Rule
0.46%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$968
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$39,120
Less Vacancy−$2,269
Effective Income$36,851
Less Operating Expenses−$25,236
Net Operating Income$11,615
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Paterson

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Paterson.

$
$176,250
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-9.46%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$197,400
$176,250 down + $21,150 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$3,447
on $529K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-1,556
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-18,673
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$3,260
Less Expenses−$1,369
Less Mortgage−$3,447
Monthly Cash Flow$-1,556

Is Paterson a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Paterson, NJ has a population of 157,929 and has been growing at 0.2% annually — roughly in line with national trends, meaning demand is stable but not exceptional. The median home price of $705,000 paired with median rents of $3,260/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 2.25%.

Property taxes at 2.18% are notably high and represent a significant drag on cash flow — model this expense carefully, as it can make or break a deal. The vacancy rate of 5.8% is moderate and within normal parameters for a healthy rental market.

At a price-to-income ratio of 19.2x, homes cost about 19.2 times the local median income of $36,800. This elevated ratio means homeownership is stretched, supporting rental demand but limiting buyer pools. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.5% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: At current median prices, Paterson is challenging for pure cash flow investing. Consider BRRRR strategies with below-market purchases, or look at neighboring metros with stronger price-to-rent ratios.

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Related Cities Near Paterson

Similar Markets in the Northeast

Newark, NJ$705K · $3,260/mo
2.2%
Bridgeport, CT$655K · $2,730/mo
2.3%
Concord, NH$470K · $1,990/mo
2.2%
Barre, VT$380K · $1,540/mo
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Elizabeth, NJ$705K · $3,260/mo
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