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Hartford, CT Cap Rate: 3.10% — Rental Property Analysis

Hartford is a higher-priced market in the Northeast with a smaller market with 121,054 residents. At a 3.10% estimated cap rate, this is a appreciation-focused market where rents of $1,890/mo lag behind home prices. With a median home price of $380,000 and the population has been declining, which investors should factor into long-term projections, Hartford is primarily an appreciation play that requires creative strategies to generate positive cash flow.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Challenging for pure cash flow
Based on $380,000 median price and $1,890/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
3.10%
1% Rule
0.50%
Fails
GRM
16.8x
Price / Income
9.9x

Market Data

Median Home Price$380,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,890
Property Tax Rate1.68%
Population121,054
Population Growth-0.2% / yr
Median Household Income$38,400
Vacancy Rate6.5%
Annual Appreciation2%

2026 Market Update: Hartford

Hartford's 0.5% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $380,000, the $1,890/mo rent produces only $982/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($76K at 7%) would result in approximately $-1,040/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

Property taxes consume 28% of gross rent here — one of the highest ratios in our dataset. This significantly compresses margins and makes Hartford a market where tax-conscious underwriting is essential. Every deal should be stress-tested with potential assessment increases.

Cap Rate Calculator — Hartford

Pre-filled with Hartford medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
1.68% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
2.43%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$9,218
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
16.8x
High (>15)
1% Rule
0.50%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$768
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$22,680
Less Vacancy−$1,474
Effective Income$21,206
Less Operating Expenses−$11,988
Net Operating Income$9,218
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Hartford

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Hartford.

$
$95,000
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-8.59%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$106,400
$95,000 down + $11,400 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$1,858
on $285K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-762
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-9,144
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,890
Less Expenses−$794
Less Mortgage−$1,858
Monthly Cash Flow$-762

Is Hartford a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Hartford, CT has a population of 121,054 and has been growing at -0.2% annually — roughly in line with national trends, meaning demand is stable but not exceptional. The median home price of $380,000 paired with median rents of $1,890/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 3.10%.

Property taxes at 1.68% are notably high and represent a significant drag on cash flow — model this expense carefully, as it can make or break a deal. The vacancy rate of 6.5% is moderate and within normal parameters for a healthy rental market.

At a price-to-income ratio of 9.9x, homes cost about 9.9 times the local median income of $38,400. This elevated ratio means homeownership is stretched, supporting rental demand but limiting buyer pools. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: At current median prices, Hartford is challenging for pure cash flow investing. Consider BRRRR strategies with below-market purchases, or look at neighboring metros with stronger price-to-rent ratios.

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