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Tulsa, OK

Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Tulsa, OK

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Tulsa, OK

Cap Rate
4.64%
Median Price
$195K
Rent/Mo
$1,100
1% Rule
0.56%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Tulsa, OK have appreciated at 2.3% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Tulsa continues appreciating at 2.3% annually, the current median of $195,000 would reach approximately $218,481 in 5 years — an equity gain of $23,481 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $39,000, that represents a 60% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $45,267, the projected total return is $68,748 — a 176% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Tulsa's population growth of 0.6% is moderate and positive, supporting steady but not explosive demand for housing. Markets with this growth profile tend to appreciate consistently without the boom-bust cycles of hyper-growth metros.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Tulsa, the 4.64% cap rate provides moderate ongoing cash flow, while 2.3% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

Full Tulsa Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

More Tulsa Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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