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MarketsSouth DakotaVermillionAppreciation & Growth Forecast

Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Vermillion, SD

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Vermillion, SD

Cap Rate
1.87%
Median Price
$280K
Rent/Mo
$950
1% Rule
0.34%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Vermillion, SD have appreciated at 2.7% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Vermillion continues appreciating at 2.7% annually, the current median of $280,000 would reach approximately $319,897 in 5 years — an equity gain of $39,897 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $56,000, that represents a 71% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $26,207, the projected total return is $66,104 — a 118% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Vermillion's population growth of 1.4% is moderate and positive, supporting steady but not explosive demand for housing. Markets with this growth profile tend to appreciate consistently without the boom-bust cycles of hyper-growth metros.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Vermillion, the 1.87% cap rate provides modest ongoing cash flow, while 2.7% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

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How Vermillion Compares

Vermillion vs South Dakota state average and national average across key investment metrics. Vermillion's cap rate is below both benchmarks — deal sourcing is critical here.

Metric
Vermillion
South Dakota Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
1.87%
2.24%
3.81%
Median Price
$280K
$300K
$333K
Median Rent
$950
$1,106
$1,524
Property Tax
1.2%
1.2%
1.08%
Vacancy
4.9%
4.9%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
1.4%/yr
1.4%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby Midwest Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Vermillion, SD
1.9%
$280K
$950
1.2%
Fond du Lac, WI
1.6%
$280K
$1,070
1.88%
Janesville, WI
2.3%
$280K
$1,230
1.88%
Indianapolis, IN
4.2%
$285K
$1,490
0.84%
Carmel, IN
4.4%
$285K
$1,490
0.82%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Vermillion?
Home values in Vermillion have been appreciating at 2.7% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $280K home would be worth approximately $320K in 5 years.
Is Vermillion a growing city?
Vermillion's population of 50,000 is growing at 1.4% per year. Moderate growth provides stable demand without overheating.
What is the best investment strategy for Vermillion?
In Vermillion, pure cash flow is tight at 1.87%. Consider appreciation-focused strategies, house hacking, or targeting below-median properties where rent-to-price ratios are stronger.
How does Vermillion compare to other Midwest cities?
Among Midwest markets, Vermillion's 1.87% cap rate is below the South Dakota average of 2.24%. Prices at $280K are below the state average of $300K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Vermillion against specific markets.
Full Vermillion Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Vermillion & Related Markets

More Vermillion Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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