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Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Warsaw, IN

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Warsaw, IN

Cap Rate
2.94%
Median Price
$275K
Rent/Mo
$1,110
1% Rule
0.40%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Warsaw, IN have appreciated at 2.6% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Warsaw continues appreciating at 2.6% annually, the current median of $275,000 would reach approximately $312,658 in 5 years — an equity gain of $37,658 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $55,000, that represents a 68% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $40,387, the projected total return is $78,045 — a 142% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Warsaw's population growth of 0.9% is moderate and positive, supporting steady but not explosive demand for housing. Markets with this growth profile tend to appreciate consistently without the boom-bust cycles of hyper-growth metros. Higher-than-average local incomes ($60,888) support continued price growth as more residents can afford to bid up properties.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Warsaw, the 2.94% cap rate provides modest ongoing cash flow, while 2.6% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

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How Warsaw Compares

Warsaw vs Indiana state average and national average across key investment metrics. Warsaw's cap rate is below both benchmarks — deal sourcing is critical here.

Metric
Warsaw
Indiana Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
2.94%
3.98%
3.81%
Median Price
$275K
$230K
$333K
Median Rent
$1,110
$1,124
$1,524
Property Tax
0.84%
0.84%
1.08%
Vacancy
5.5%
5.5%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
0.9%/yr
0.9%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby Midwest Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Warsaw, IN
2.9%
$275K
$1,110
0.84%
Lafayette, IN
4.1%
$275K
$1,390
0.85%
Mount Vernon, OH
2.8%
$275K
$1,270
1.58%
Warrensburg, MO
2.3%
$275K
$1,060
1.25%
Winona, MN
3.1%
$275K
$1,220
1.12%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Warsaw?
Home values in Warsaw have been appreciating at 2.6% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $275K home would be worth approximately $313K in 5 years.
Is Warsaw a growing city?
Warsaw's population of 50,000 is growing at 0.9% per year. Moderate growth provides stable demand without overheating.
What is the best investment strategy for Warsaw?
In Warsaw, pure cash flow is tight at 2.94%. Consider appreciation-focused strategies, house hacking, or targeting below-median properties where rent-to-price ratios are stronger.
How does Warsaw compare to other Midwest cities?
Among Midwest markets, Warsaw's 2.94% cap rate is below the Indiana average of 3.98%. Prices at $275K are above the state average of $230K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Warsaw against specific markets.
Full Warsaw Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Warsaw & Related Markets

More Warsaw Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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