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Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Wilson, NC

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Wilson, NC

Cap Rate
5.55%
Median Price
$220K
Rent/Mo
$1,380
1% Rule
0.63%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Wilson, NC have appreciated at 3.2% per year. This is roughly in line with or slightly above the national average, providing steady equity building without the volatility of boom markets. At 3.2% per year, the $220,000 median gains about $7,040 annually in value.

5-Year Price Projection

If Wilson continues appreciating at 3.2% annually, the current median of $220,000 would reach approximately $257,526 in 5 years — an equity gain of $37,526 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $44,000, that represents a 85% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $61,032, the projected total return is $98,558 — a 224% cumulative return on the initial investment. That breaks down to roughly 45% per year on your cash invested. Cash flow is the dominant return component, contributing 62% of total returns — a more conservative and predictable return profile.

Growth Drivers

Wilson's population growth of 1.5% is moderate and positive, supporting steady but not explosive demand for housing. That translates to approximately 750 new residents annually. Markets with this growth profile tend to appreciate consistently without the boom-bust cycles of hyper-growth metros. Local incomes of $58,267 are moderate, meaning appreciation is more likely to be gradual than explosive.

Risk Factors

While Wilson's 1.5% growth rate is healthy, risks still exist. The $220,000 price point provides some downside protection, as affordable markets historically experience smaller percentage declines during corrections. Interest rate changes also matter: a 2-point rate increase reduces buyer purchasing power by roughly 20%, which directly impacts resale values. Always stress-test your investment against a 15-20% value decline scenario.

BRRRR Opportunity

The BRRRR strategy (Buy, Rehab, Rent, Refinance, Repeat) is workable in Wilson for investors with rehab experience. Target distressed properties at $154,000 or below, budget $44,000 for rehab, and aim for an ARV of $253,000. The key metric is whether a 75% LTV cash-out refinance ($189,750) covers your all-in cost. The 3.2% annual appreciation provides a tailwind — even properties that do not fully cash out at refinance will grow into profitability as values rise.

10-Year Wealth Projection

Over a 10-year hold on a $220,000 Wilson rental purchased with 20% down ($44,000), wealth accumulates from three sources. First, appreciation: at 3.2% annually, the property reaches $301,453, producing $81,453 in equity gain. Second, cash flow: after debt service of approximately $14,045/yr, net cash flow totals roughly $-18,387 over 10 years (before any rent increases). Third, loan paydown: your tenants' rent payments reduce the mortgage principal by approximately $22,880 over 10 years. Total wealth created: approximately $85,946 on an initial investment of $44,000. That is a 195% total return, or roughly 11% annualized. These returns illustrate how rental property builds wealth through multiple simultaneous channels. These projections assume constant appreciation and do not account for rent growth, which would improve cash flow over time.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Wilson, the 5.55% cap rate provides strong ongoing cash flow, while 3.2% annual appreciation adds an equity component. This is a rare combination — both strong cash flow AND solid appreciation. Markets like this offer the best risk-adjusted total returns because you are paid while you wait for values to rise. The key question for Wilson is your time horizon: even a 3-year hold produces positive total returns thanks to strong cash flow.

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How Wilson Compares

Wilson vs North Carolina state average and national average across key investment metrics. Wilson outperforms both benchmarks on cap rate.

Metric
Wilson
North Carolina Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
5.55%
4.45%
3.81%
Median Price
$220K
$307K
$333K
Median Rent
$1,380
$1,501
$1,524
Property Tax
0.78%
0.78%
1.08%
Vacancy
5.3%
5.3%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
1.5%/yr
1.5%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby South Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Wilson, NC
5.5%
$220K
$1,380
0.78%
Corpus Christi, TX
4.8%
$220K
$1,420
1.68%
Gulfport, MS
5.7%
$220K
$1,420
0.68%
Hammond, LA
5.3%
$220K
$1,310
0.54%
Thomasville, GA
7.1%
$220K
$1,720
0.93%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Wilson?
Home values in Wilson have been appreciating at 3.2% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $220K home would be worth approximately $258K in 5 years.
Is Wilson a growing city?
Wilson's population of 50,000 is growing at 1.5% per year. Moderate growth provides stable demand without overheating.
What is the best investment strategy for Wilson?
Wilson's 5.55% cap rate and strong growth make it a balanced market. Look for value-add properties below median where you can force appreciation through renovation while capturing cash flow.
How does Wilson compare to other South cities?
Among South markets, Wilson's 5.55% cap rate exceeds the North Carolina average of 4.45%. Prices at $220K are below the state average of $307K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Wilson against specific markets.
Full Wilson Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Wilson & Related Markets

More Wilson Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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