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MarketsWashingtonAberdeenAppreciation & Growth Forecast

Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Aberdeen, WA

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Aberdeen, WA

Cap Rate
3.47%
Median Price
$315K
Rent/Mo
$1,430
1% Rule
0.45%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Aberdeen, WA have appreciated at 2.8% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Aberdeen continues appreciating at 2.8% annually, the current median of $315,000 would reach approximately $361,640 in 5 years — an equity gain of $46,640 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $63,000, that represents a 74% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $54,606, the projected total return is $101,246 — a 161% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Aberdeen's population growth of 1.1% is moderate and positive, supporting steady but not explosive demand for housing. Markets with this growth profile tend to appreciate consistently without the boom-bust cycles of hyper-growth metros. Higher-than-average local incomes ($62,750) support continued price growth as more residents can afford to bid up properties.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Aberdeen, the 3.47% cap rate provides modest ongoing cash flow, while 2.8% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

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How Aberdeen Compares

Aberdeen vs Washington state average and national average across key investment metrics. Aberdeen's cap rate is below both benchmarks — deal sourcing is critical here.

Metric
Aberdeen
Washington Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
3.47%
2.43%
3.81%
Median Price
$315K
$485K
$333K
Median Rent
$1,430
$1,726
$1,524
Property Tax
0.93%
0.93%
1.08%
Vacancy
4.6%
4.6%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
1.1%/yr
1.1%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby West Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Aberdeen, WA
3.5%
$315K
$1,430
0.93%
Red Bluff, CA
3.2%
$315K
$1,320
0.75%
Fort Morgan, CO
3.0%
$320K
$1,220
0.51%
Gillette, WY
2.8%
$320K
$1,190
0.61%
La Grande, OR
2.7%
$320K
$1,230
0.94%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Aberdeen?
Home values in Aberdeen have been appreciating at 2.8% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $315K home would be worth approximately $362K in 5 years.
Is Aberdeen a growing city?
Aberdeen's population of 50,000 is growing at 1.1% per year. Moderate growth provides stable demand without overheating.
What is the best investment strategy for Aberdeen?
In Aberdeen, pure cash flow is tight at 3.47%. Consider appreciation-focused strategies, house hacking, or targeting below-median properties where rent-to-price ratios are stronger.
How does Aberdeen compare to other West cities?
Among West markets, Aberdeen's 3.47% cap rate exceeds the Washington average of 2.43%. Prices at $315K are below the state average of $485K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Aberdeen against specific markets.
Full Aberdeen Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Aberdeen & Related Markets

More Aberdeen Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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