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MarketsTennesseeCookevilleAppreciation & Growth Forecast

Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Cookeville, TN

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Cookeville, TN

Cap Rate
4.70%
Median Price
$285K
Rent/Mo
$1,550
1% Rule
0.54%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Cookeville, TN have appreciated at 3.1% per year. This is roughly in line with or slightly above the national average, providing steady equity building without the volatility of boom markets.

5-Year Price Projection

If Cookeville continues appreciating at 3.1% annually, the current median of $285,000 would reach approximately $332,000 in 5 years — an equity gain of $47,000 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $57,000, that represents a 82% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $67,037, the projected total return is $114,037 — a 200% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Cookeville's population is growing at 1.6% annually — well above the US average of ~0.5%. Rapid population growth is the single strongest predictor of sustained home price appreciation because it creates persistent demand pressure. More people need more housing, and new construction rarely keeps pace with demand in fast-growing markets.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Cookeville, the 4.70% cap rate provides moderate ongoing cash flow, while 3.1% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

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How Cookeville Compares

Cookeville vs Tennessee state average and national average across key investment metrics. Cookeville outperforms both benchmarks on cap rate.

Metric
Cookeville
Tennessee Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
4.70%
4.12%
3.81%
Median Price
$285K
$297K
$333K
Median Rent
$1,550
$1,419
$1,524
Property Tax
0.65%
0.65%
1.08%
Vacancy
5.7%
5.7%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
1.6%/yr
1.6%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby South Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Cookeville, TN
4.7%
$285K
$1,550
0.65%
Jacksonville, NC
4.3%
$285K
$1,480
0.78%
Sherman, TX
3.1%
$285K
$1,420
1.72%
Roanoke, VA
3.7%
$290K
$1,370
0.84%
Clarksville, TN
3.9%
$290K
$1,340
0.58%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Cookeville?
Home values in Cookeville have been appreciating at 3.1% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $285K home would be worth approximately $332K in 5 years.
Is Cookeville a growing city?
Cookeville's population of 50,000 is growing at 1.6% per year. This rapid growth drives housing demand and supports both rent increases and price appreciation.
What is the best investment strategy for Cookeville?
Cookeville's 4.70% cap rate and strong growth make it a balanced market. Look for value-add properties below median where you can force appreciation through renovation while capturing cash flow.
How does Cookeville compare to other South cities?
Among South markets, Cookeville's 4.70% cap rate exceeds the Tennessee average of 4.12%. Prices at $285K are below the state average of $297K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Cookeville against specific markets.
Full Cookeville Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Cookeville & Related Markets

More Cookeville Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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