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Jacksonville, NC Cap Rate: 4.25% — Rental Property Analysis

Jacksonville is a mid-range market in the South with a smaller market with 74,500 residents. At a 4.25% estimated cap rate, this is a moderate market where rents of $1,480/mo lag behind home prices. With a median home price of $285,000 and steady population growth supports long-term rental demand, Jacksonville offers opportunities for investors who source deals carefully.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Moderate — source deals carefully
Based on $285,000 median price and $1,480/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
4.25%
1% Rule
0.52%
Fails
GRM
16.0x
Price / Income
6.4x

Market Data

Median Home Price$285,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,480
Property Tax Rate0.78%
Population74,500
Population Growth1.2% / yr
Median Household Income$44,600
Vacancy Rate6.5%
Annual Appreciation2.5%

2026 Market Update: Jacksonville

Jacksonville's 0.5% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $285,000, the $1,480/mo rent produces only $1,009/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($57K at 7%) would result in approximately $-507/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

The 16.0x gross rent multiplier and 6.5% vacancy rate position Jacksonville as a balanced market. With annual appreciation at 2.5%, total returns (cash flow + equity growth) run approximately 6.7% before financing leverage.

Deal Modeling & Scenarios for Jacksonville

All figures below are computed from Jacksonville's real market medians. Use them as a baseline; override with property-specific numbers in the calculators.

Property Tax Bill in Real Dollars

Annual$2,223
Monthly$185
% of Gross Rent12.5%

At 0.78% effective rate on the $285,000 median price, the annual tax bill is $2,223 — that's below national average (-26% vs the national average of ~1.06%). Verify the actual assessed value before purchase; sale-triggered reassessments can push the bill higher than the seller's current statement.

5-Year Cap Rate Trajectory

If Jacksonville continues appreciating at 2.5%/yr while rents grow at a conservative 3%/yr, cap rate holds roughly steady as price growth outpaces rent. Year-by-year projection at the median:

YearEst. PriceEst. Rent/MoCap Rate
Today$285K$1,4804.2%
Year 1$292K$1,5244.3%
Year 2$299K$1,5704.3%
Year 3$307K$1,6174.3%
Year 4$315K$1,6664.3%
Year 5$322K$1,7164.4%

Three Financing Scenarios

Same median-priced Jacksonville property — different capital structures. All-cash maximizes cap rate. Leverage trades cash flow for higher cash-on-cash return when the spread between cap rate and borrowing cost is positive.

ScenarioCash InvestedMonthly Cash FlowAnnual CFCash-on-Cash
All cash$285K$1,009$12,1034.2%
20% down conventional @ 7%$66K$-508$-6,092-9.3%
25% down DSCR @ 8.5%$83K$-635$-7,622-9.2%

Three Price Tiers: Below, At, and Above the Median

Properties don't always trade at the median. Lower-priced units typically offer higher cap rates but harder operations; higher-priced properties tend to compress cap rates while attracting better tenants. All-cash assumptions below:

TierPriceRent/MoNOI/YrCap RateMonthly CF
Below median (~75% price)$214K$1,258$9,1774.3%$765
At median$285K$1,480$10,4013.6%$867
Above median (~125% price)$356K$1,702$11,6253.3%$969

Total Return Over a 5-Year Hold

Cap rate is just one piece. Real estate returns come from four sources: cash flow, appreciation, principal paydown, and tax benefits. Assuming 20% down conventional financing at 7% and a 5-year hold at Jacksonville's historical appreciation rate of 2.5%:

Cash Flow (5yr)$-30,459
Appreciation$37K
Principal Paydown$17K
Total Return$24K

On a $57K down payment, that's a 42.3% total ROI over 5 years (not annualized). Tax benefits from depreciation are additional and depend on your personal tax bracket.

Risk Flags Specific to Jacksonville

Automated checks against the underlying data — surface only the risks that actually apply to Jacksonville, not generic boilerplate:

Watch closelyRent-to-price ratio of 0.52% is well below the 1% rule. Achieving positive cash flow at median prices requires below-market purchases, larger down payments, or value-add strategies.
Worth notingPrice-to-income ratio of 6.4x suggests homeownership is stretched locally — supports rental demand, but limits the buyer pool for any future exit.

Cap Rate Calculator — Jacksonville

Pre-filled with Jacksonville medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
0.78% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
3.53%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$10,054
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
16.0x
High (>15)
1% Rule
0.52%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$838
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$17,760
Less Vacancy−$1,154
Effective Income$16,606
Less Operating Expenses−$6,552
Net Operating Income$10,054
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Jacksonville

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Jacksonville.

$
$71,250
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-8.05%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$79,800
$71,250 down + $8,550 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$1,393
on $214K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-535
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-6,426
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,480
Less Expenses−$622
Less Mortgage−$1,393
Monthly Cash Flow$-535

Is Jacksonville a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Jacksonville, NC has a population of 74,500 and has been growing at 1.2% annually — above the national average, suggesting steady demand pressure on housing. The median home price of $285,000 paired with median rents of $1,480/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 4.25%.

Property taxes at 0.78% are well below the national average of ~1.1%, providing a meaningful cash flow advantage many investors overlook. The vacancy rate of 6.5% is moderate and within normal parameters for a healthy rental market.

At a price-to-income ratio of 6.4x, homes cost about 6.4 times the local median income of $44,600. This elevated ratio means homeownership is stretched, supporting rental demand but limiting buyer pools. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.5% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: Jacksonville presents moderate opportunities. Cap rates near 4.25% mean deals need careful sourcing — look for value-add rehabs or emerging neighborhoods where rents are climbing.

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