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MarketsTexasAmarillo

Amarillo, TX Cap Rate: 4.23% — Rental Property Analysis

Amarillo is a budget-friendly market in the South with a mid-sized city of 200,810. At a 4.23% estimated cap rate, this is a moderate market where rents of $1,240/mo lag behind home prices. With a median home price of $210,000 and steady population growth supports long-term rental demand, Amarillo offers opportunities for investors who source deals carefully.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Moderate — source deals carefully
Based on $210,000 median price and $1,240/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
4.23%
1% Rule
0.59%
Fails
GRM
14.1x
Price / Income
4.1x

Market Data

Median Home Price$210,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,240
Property Tax Rate1.62%
Population200,810
Population Growth0.7% / yr
Median Household Income$51,800
Vacancy Rate6.1%
Annual Appreciation2.2%

2026 Market Update: Amarillo

Amarillo's 0.6% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $210,000, the $1,240/mo rent produces only $741/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($42K at 7%) would result in approximately $-376/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

Property taxes consume 23% of gross rent here — one of the highest ratios in our dataset. This significantly compresses margins and makes Amarillo a market where tax-conscious underwriting is essential. Every deal should be stress-tested with potential assessment increases.

Cap Rate Calculator — Amarillo

Pre-filled with Amarillo medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
1.62% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
3.36%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$7,048
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
14.1x
Good (<15)
1% Rule
0.59%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$587
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$14,880
Less Vacancy−$908
Effective Income$13,972
Less Operating Expenses−$6,924
Net Operating Income$7,048
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Amarillo

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Amarillo.

$
$52,500
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-6.28%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$58,800
$52,500 down + $6,300 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$1,027
on $158K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-308
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-3,693
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,240
Less Expenses−$521
Less Mortgage−$1,027
Monthly Cash Flow$-308

Is Amarillo a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Amarillo, TX has a population of 200,810 and has been growing at 0.7% annually — roughly in line with national trends, meaning demand is stable but not exceptional. The median home price of $210,000 paired with median rents of $1,240/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 4.23%.

Property taxes at 1.62% are notably high and represent a significant drag on cash flow — model this expense carefully, as it can make or break a deal. The vacancy rate of 6.1% is moderate and within normal parameters for a healthy rental market.

At a price-to-income ratio of 4.1x, homes cost about 4.1 times the local median income of $51,800. This relatively affordable ratio suggests a deep pool of renters who find buying out of reach, supporting rental demand. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.2% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: Amarillo presents moderate opportunities. Cap rates near 4.23% mean deals need careful sourcing — look for value-add rehabs or emerging neighborhoods where rents are climbing.

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