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El Paso, TX Cap Rate: 4.71% — Rental Property Analysis

El Paso sits in an unusual investment position — one of the largest US border metros, anchored by one of the Army's largest installations, with a cross-border manufacturing economy that doesn't fit anywhere else on the US rental investing map. The 4.71% cap rate at a $225,000 median price reflects the structural affordability and stable tenant base; the 0.64% rent-to-price ratio sits at or near the 1% rule depending on submarket.

Employment is dominated by Fort Bliss (the Army's second-largest installation by acreage, anchor for roughly 30,000 military personnel + their families + civilian workforce), the broader Department of Defense presence, and the maquiladora-driven economy across the border in Ciudad Juárez (where parts of El Paso's workforce commutes daily). Healthcare (Las Palmas Del Sol Healthcare, University Medical Center) and the University of Texas at El Paso (UTEP) anchor white-collar employment. Submarkets stratify clearly: the West Side and Upper Valley have premium suburban pricing; Central El Paso has older walkable neighborhoods at mid-tier pricing; the East and South sides offer deeper value with military-tenant concentration.

Texas property tax at 1.74% applies, but El Paso County's effective rates run somewhat below the DFW or Houston averages because the assessed-value base is lower. No state income tax. Insurance pricing is moderate (less hurricane and hail exposure than Gulf Coast peers). Military tenants bring stability but also Servicemembers Civil Relief Act considerations — PCS orders trigger lease termination rights that ordinary leases don't. The cross-border economy adds an unusual dimension: changes in US/Mexico trade policy materially affect Juárez manufacturing employment, which materially affects El Paso's tenant base. Plan for that variable.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Moderate — source deals carefully
Based on $225,000 median price and $1,450/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
4.71%
1% Rule
0.64%
Fails
GRM
12.9x
Price / Income
4.9x

Market Data

Median Home Price$225,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,450
Property Tax Rate1.74%
Population681,728
Population Growth0.6% / yr
Median Household Income$46,100
Vacancy Rate6.2%
Annual Appreciation2.3%

2026 Market Update: El Paso

El Paso's 0.6% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $225,000, the $1,450/mo rent produces only $884/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($45K at 7%) would result in approximately $-313/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

Property taxes consume 23% of gross rent here — one of the highest ratios in our dataset. This significantly compresses margins and makes El Paso a market where tax-conscious underwriting is essential. Every deal should be stress-tested with potential assessment increases.

Deal Modeling & Scenarios for El Paso

All figures below are computed from El Paso's real market medians. Use them as a baseline; override with property-specific numbers in the calculators.

Property Tax Bill in Real Dollars

Annual$3,915
Monthly$326
% of Gross Rent22.5%

At 1.74% effective rate on the $225,000 median price, the annual tax bill is $3,915 — that's very high (top 15% of US markets) (+64% vs the national average of ~1.06%). Verify the actual assessed value before purchase; sale-triggered reassessments can push the bill higher than the seller's current statement.

5-Year Cap Rate Trajectory

If El Paso continues appreciating at 2.3%/yr while rents grow at a conservative 3%/yr, cap rate holds roughly steady as price growth outpaces rent. Year-by-year projection at the median:

YearEst. PriceEst. Rent/MoCap Rate
Today$225K$1,4504.7%
Year 1$230K$1,4944.7%
Year 2$235K$1,5384.8%
Year 3$241K$1,5844.8%
Year 4$246K$1,6324.8%
Year 5$252K$1,6814.9%

Three Financing Scenarios

Same median-priced El Paso property — different capital structures. All-cash maximizes cap rate. Leverage trades cash flow for higher cash-on-cash return when the spread between cap rate and borrowing cost is positive.

ScenarioCash InvestedMonthly Cash FlowAnnual CFCash-on-Cash
All cash$225K$884$10,6064.7%
20% down conventional @ 7%$52K$-313$-3,758-7.3%
25% down DSCR @ 8.5%$65K$-414$-4,966-7.6%

Three Price Tiers: Below, At, and Above the Median

Properties don't always trade at the median. Lower-priced units typically offer higher cap rates but harder operations; higher-priced properties tend to compress cap rates while attracting better tenants. All-cash assumptions below:

TierPriceRent/MoNOI/YrCap RateMonthly CF
Below median (~75% price)$169K$1,233$7,9004.7%$658
At median$225K$1,450$8,7223.9%$727
Above median (~125% price)$281K$1,667$9,5443.4%$795

Total Return Over a 5-Year Hold

Cap rate is just one piece. Real estate returns come from four sources: cash flow, appreciation, principal paydown, and tax benefits. Assuming 20% down conventional financing at 7% and a 5-year hold at El Paso's historical appreciation rate of 2.3%:

Cash Flow (5yr)$-18,789
Appreciation$27K
Principal Paydown$14K
Total Return$22K

On a $45K down payment, that's a 48.5% total ROI over 5 years (not annualized). Tax benefits from depreciation are additional and depend on your personal tax bracket.

Risk Flags Specific to El Paso

Automated checks against the underlying data — surface only the risks that actually apply to El Paso, not generic boilerplate:

Watch closelyProperty tax rate of 1.74% is among the highest in the country. Taxes consume a meaningful share of gross rent — see the tax breakdown above. Stress-test for assessment increases.

Cap Rate Calculator — El Paso

Pre-filled with El Paso medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
1.74% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
3.72%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$8,377
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
12.9x
Good (<15)
1% Rule
0.64%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$698
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$17,400
Less Vacancy−$1,079
Effective Income$16,321
Less Operating Expenses−$7,944
Net Operating Income$8,377
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Cash-on-Cash Return — El Paso

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in El Paso.

$
$56,250
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-4.94%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$63,000
$56,250 down + $6,750 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$1,100
on $169K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-259
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-3,109
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,450
Less Expenses−$609
Less Mortgage−$1,100
Monthly Cash Flow$-259

Is El Paso a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

El Paso, TX has a population of 681,728 and has been growing at 0.6% annually — roughly in line with national trends, meaning demand is stable but not exceptional. The median home price of $225,000 paired with median rents of $1,450/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 4.71%.

Property taxes at 1.74% are notably high and represent a significant drag on cash flow — model this expense carefully, as it can make or break a deal. The vacancy rate of 6.2% is moderate and within normal parameters for a healthy rental market.

At a price-to-income ratio of 4.9x, homes cost about 4.9 times the local median income of $46,100. This moderate ratio indicates a balanced rent-vs-buy market. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.3% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: El Paso presents moderate opportunities. Cap rates near 4.71% mean deals need careful sourcing — look for value-add rehabs or emerging neighborhoods where rents are climbing.

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