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Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Del Rio, TX

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Del Rio, TX

Cap Rate
4.81%
Median Price
$205K
Rent/Mo
$1,330
1% Rule
0.65%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Del Rio, TX have appreciated at 2.7% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Del Rio continues appreciating at 2.7% annually, the current median of $205,000 would reach approximately $234,210 in 5 years — an equity gain of $29,210 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $41,000, that represents a 71% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $49,342, the projected total return is $78,552 — a 192% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Del Rio's population is growing at 1.8% annually — well above the US average of ~0.5%. Rapid population growth is the single strongest predictor of sustained home price appreciation because it creates persistent demand pressure. More people need more housing, and new construction rarely keeps pace with demand in fast-growing markets. Higher-than-average local incomes ($63,735) support continued price growth as more residents can afford to bid up properties.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Del Rio, the 4.81% cap rate provides moderate ongoing cash flow, while 2.7% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

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How Del Rio Compares

Del Rio vs Texas state average and national average across key investment metrics. Del Rio outperforms both benchmarks on cap rate.

Metric
Del Rio
Texas Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
4.81%
3.89%
3.81%
Median Price
$205K
$264K
$333K
Median Rent
$1,330
$1,415
$1,524
Property Tax
1.72%
1.72%
1.08%
Vacancy
5.8%
5.8%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
1.8%/yr
1.8%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby South Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Del Rio, TX
4.8%
$205K
$1,330
1.72%
Montgomery, AL
6.3%
$205K
$1,380
0.41%
Columbus, GA
5.0%
$205K
$1,230
0.91%
Brownsville, TX
5.3%
$205K
$1,420
1.64%
Owensboro, KY
5.7%
$205K
$1,330
0.82%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Del Rio?
Home values in Del Rio have been appreciating at 2.7% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $205K home would be worth approximately $234K in 5 years.
Is Del Rio a growing city?
Del Rio's population of 50,000 is growing at 1.8% per year. This rapid growth drives housing demand and supports both rent increases and price appreciation.
What is the best investment strategy for Del Rio?
Del Rio's 4.81% cap rate and strong growth make it a balanced market. Look for value-add properties below median where you can force appreciation through renovation while capturing cash flow.
How does Del Rio compare to other South cities?
Among South markets, Del Rio's 4.81% cap rate exceeds the Texas average of 3.89%. Prices at $205K are below the state average of $264K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Del Rio against specific markets.
Full Del Rio Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Del Rio & Related Markets

More Del Rio Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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