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Owensboro, KY Cap Rate: 5.70% — Rental Property Analysis

Owensboro is a budget-friendly market in the South with a smaller market with 62,000 residents. At a 5.70% estimated cap rate, this is a solid market where rents of $1,330/mo lag behind home prices. With a median home price of $205,000 and population is roughly stable, Owensboro stands out as a market worth serious analysis for rental investors.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Moderate — source deals carefully
Based on $205,000 median price and $1,330/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
5.70%
1% Rule
0.65%
Fails
GRM
12.8x
Price / Income
4.6x

Market Data

Median Home Price$205,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,330
Property Tax Rate0.82%
Population62,000
Population Growth0.4% / yr
Median Household Income$44,800
Vacancy Rate6%
Annual Appreciation2.3%

2026 Market Update: Owensboro

Owensboro's 0.6% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $205,000, the $1,330/mo rent produces only $973/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($41K at 7%) would result in approximately $-118/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

The 12.8x gross rent multiplier and 6% vacancy rate position Owensboro as a value-oriented market. With annual appreciation at 2.3%, total returns (cash flow + equity growth) run approximately 8.0% before financing leverage.

Deal Modeling & Scenarios for Owensboro

All figures below are computed from Owensboro's real market medians. Use them as a baseline; override with property-specific numbers in the calculators.

Property Tax Bill in Real Dollars

Annual$1,681
Monthly$140
% of Gross Rent10.5%

At 0.82% effective rate on the $205,000 median price, the annual tax bill is $1,681 — that's below national average (-23% vs the national average of ~1.06%). Verify the actual assessed value before purchase; sale-triggered reassessments can push the bill higher than the seller's current statement.

5-Year Cap Rate Trajectory

If Owensboro continues appreciating at 2.3%/yr while rents grow at a conservative 3%/yr, cap rate holds roughly steady as price growth outpaces rent. Year-by-year projection at the median:

YearEst. PriceEst. Rent/MoCap Rate
Today$205K$1,3305.7%
Year 1$210K$1,3705.7%
Year 2$215K$1,4115.8%
Year 3$219K$1,4535.8%
Year 4$225K$1,4975.9%
Year 5$230K$1,5425.9%

Three Financing Scenarios

Same median-priced Owensboro property — different capital structures. All-cash maximizes cap rate. Leverage trades cash flow for higher cash-on-cash return when the spread between cap rate and borrowing cost is positive.

ScenarioCash InvestedMonthly Cash FlowAnnual CFCash-on-Cash
All cash$205K$973$11,6815.7%
20% down conventional @ 7%$47K$-117$-1,406-3.0%
25% down DSCR @ 8.5%$59K$-209$-2,507-4.2%

Three Price Tiers: Below, At, and Above the Median

Properties don't always trade at the median. Lower-priced units typically offer higher cap rates but harder operations; higher-priced properties tend to compress cap rates while attracting better tenants. All-cash assumptions below:

TierPriceRent/MoNOI/YrCap RateMonthly CF
Below median (~75% price)$154K$1,131$8,7105.7%$726
At median$205K$1,330$9,9484.9%$829
Above median (~125% price)$256K$1,529$11,1854.4%$932

Total Return Over a 5-Year Hold

Cap rate is just one piece. Real estate returns come from four sources: cash flow, appreciation, principal paydown, and tax benefits. Assuming 20% down conventional financing at 7% and a 5-year hold at Owensboro's historical appreciation rate of 2.3%:

Cash Flow (5yr)$-7,029
Appreciation$25K
Principal Paydown$12K
Total Return$30K

On a $41K down payment, that's a 73.1% total ROI over 5 years (not annualized). Tax benefits from depreciation are additional and depend on your personal tax bracket.

Risk Flags Specific to Owensboro

Automated checks against the underlying data — surface only the risks that actually apply to Owensboro, not generic boilerplate:

Clean readNo major risk flags surface from the underlying data. That doesn't mean a specific property is risk-free — always check submarket conditions, school district, code-enforcement environment, and neighborhood-level data before underwriting.

Cap Rate Calculator — Owensboro

Pre-filled with Owensboro medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
0.82% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
4.70%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$9,638
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
12.8x
Good (<15)
1% Rule
0.65%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$803
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$15,960
Less Vacancy−$958
Effective Income$15,002
Less Operating Expenses−$5,364
Net Operating Income$9,638
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Owensboro

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Owensboro.

$
$51,250
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-4.84%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$57,400
$51,250 down + $6,150 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$1,002
on $154K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-231
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-2,776
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,330
Less Expenses−$559
Less Mortgage−$1,002
Monthly Cash Flow$-231

Is Owensboro a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Owensboro, KY has a population of 62,000 and has been growing at 0.4% annually — roughly in line with national trends, meaning demand is stable but not exceptional. The median home price of $205,000 paired with median rents of $1,330/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 5.70%.

Property taxes at 0.82% fall within the national average range and shouldn't present unusual challenges. The vacancy rate of 6% is moderate and within normal parameters for a healthy rental market.

At a price-to-income ratio of 4.6x, homes cost about 4.6 times the local median income of $44,800. This moderate ratio indicates a balanced rent-vs-buy market. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.3% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: Owensboro presents moderate opportunities. Cap rates near 5.70% mean deals need careful sourcing — look for value-add rehabs or emerging neighborhoods where rents are climbing.

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