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Pensacola, FL Cap Rate: 4.80% — Rental Property Analysis

Pensacola is a mid-range market in the South with a smaller market with 55,480 residents. At a 4.80% estimated cap rate, this is a moderate market where rents of $1,720/mo lag behind home prices. With a median home price of $305,000 and steady population growth supports long-term rental demand, Pensacola offers opportunities for investors who source deals carefully.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Moderate — source deals carefully
Based on $305,000 median price and $1,720/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
4.80%
1% Rule
0.56%
Fails
GRM
14.8x
Price / Income
6.3x

Market Data

Median Home Price$305,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,720
Property Tax Rate0.79%
Population55,480
Population Growth1% / yr
Median Household Income$48,200
Vacancy Rate5.6%
Annual Appreciation3.3%

2026 Market Update: Pensacola

Pensacola's 0.6% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $305,000, the $1,720/mo rent produces only $1,220/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($61K at 7%) would result in approximately $-403/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

The 14.8x gross rent multiplier and 5.6% vacancy rate position Pensacola as a balanced market. With annual appreciation at 3.3%, total returns (cash flow + equity growth) run approximately 8.1% before financing leverage.

Cap Rate Calculator — Pensacola

Pre-filled with Pensacola medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
0.79% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
3.98%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$12,128
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
14.8x
Good (<15)
1% Rule
0.56%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$1,011
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$20,640
Less Vacancy−$1,156
Effective Income$19,484
Less Operating Expenses−$7,356
Net Operating Income$12,128
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Pensacola

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Pensacola.

$
$76,250
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-6.93%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$85,400
$76,250 down + $9,150 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$1,491
on $229K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-493
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-5,919
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,720
Less Expenses−$722
Less Mortgage−$1,491
Monthly Cash Flow$-493

Is Pensacola a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Pensacola, FL has a population of 55,480 and has been growing at 1% annually — roughly in line with national trends, meaning demand is stable but not exceptional. The median home price of $305,000 paired with median rents of $1,720/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 4.80%.

Property taxes at 0.79% are well below the national average of ~1.1%, providing a meaningful cash flow advantage many investors overlook. The vacancy rate of 5.6% is moderate and within normal parameters for a healthy rental market.

At a price-to-income ratio of 6.3x, homes cost about 6.3 times the local median income of $48,200. This elevated ratio means homeownership is stretched, supporting rental demand but limiting buyer pools. Home values have appreciated at roughly 3.3% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: Pensacola presents moderate opportunities. Cap rates near 4.80% mean deals need careful sourcing — look for value-add rehabs or emerging neighborhoods where rents are climbing.

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