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MarketsKansasGreat BendAppreciation & Growth Forecast

Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Great Bend, KS

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Great Bend, KS

Cap Rate
5.49%
Median Price
$120K
Rent/Mo
$810
1% Rule
0.68%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Great Bend, KS have appreciated at 2.5% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Great Bend continues appreciating at 2.5% annually, the current median of $120,000 would reach approximately $135,769 in 5 years — an equity gain of $15,769 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $24,000, that represents a 66% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $32,944, the projected total return is $48,713 — a 203% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Great Bend's population growth of 0.7% is moderate and positive, supporting steady but not explosive demand for housing. Markets with this growth profile tend to appreciate consistently without the boom-bust cycles of hyper-growth metros.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Great Bend, the 5.49% cap rate provides strong ongoing cash flow, while 2.5% annual appreciation adds an equity component. The strong cash flow here means your returns are mostly realized as income rather than paper equity — a more conservative and predictable return profile.

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How Great Bend Compares

Great Bend vs Kansas state average and national average across key investment metrics. Great Bend outperforms both benchmarks on cap rate.

Metric
Great Bend
Kansas Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
5.49%
3.83%
3.81%
Median Price
$120K
$212K
$333K
Median Rent
$810
$1,076
$1,524
Property Tax
1.38%
1.38%
1.08%
Vacancy
5.3%
5.3%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
0.7%/yr
0.7%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby Midwest Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Great Bend, KS
5.5%
$120K
$810
1.38%
Decatur, IL
7.7%
$120K
$1,120
2.06%
Jacksonville, IL
5.2%
$125K
$890
2.06%
Pittsburg, KS
6.0%
$130K
$940
1.38%
Burlington, IA
4.7%
$140K
$870
1.51%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Great Bend?
Home values in Great Bend have been appreciating at 2.5% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $120K home would be worth approximately $136K in 5 years.
Is Great Bend a growing city?
Great Bend's population of 50,000 is growing at 0.7% per year. Moderate growth provides stable demand without overheating.
What is the best investment strategy for Great Bend?
Great Bend's 5.49% cap rate and moderate growth make it a balanced market. Look for value-add properties below median where you can force appreciation through renovation while capturing cash flow.
How does Great Bend compare to other Midwest cities?
Among Midwest markets, Great Bend's 5.49% cap rate exceeds the Kansas average of 3.83%. Prices at $120K are below the state average of $212K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Great Bend against specific markets.
Full Great Bend Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Great Bend & Related Markets

More Great Bend Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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