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MarketsNebraskaKearneyAppreciation & Growth Forecast

Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Kearney, NE

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Kearney, NE

Cap Rate
3.63%
Median Price
$295K
Rent/Mo
$1,570
1% Rule
0.53%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Kearney, NE have appreciated at 2.5% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Kearney continues appreciating at 2.5% annually, the current median of $295,000 would reach approximately $333,765 in 5 years — an equity gain of $38,765 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $59,000, that represents a 66% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $53,607, the projected total return is $92,372 — a 157% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Kearney's population growth of 0.7% is moderate and positive, supporting steady but not explosive demand for housing. Markets with this growth profile tend to appreciate consistently without the boom-bust cycles of hyper-growth metros.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Kearney, the 3.63% cap rate provides moderate ongoing cash flow, while 2.5% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

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How Kearney Compares

Kearney vs Nebraska state average and national average across key investment metrics. Kearney's cap rate is below both benchmarks — deal sourcing is critical here.

Metric
Kearney
Nebraska Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
3.63%
3.33%
3.81%
Median Price
$295K
$250K
$333K
Median Rent
$1,570
$1,258
$1,524
Property Tax
1.62%
1.62%
1.08%
Vacancy
5.2%
5.2%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
0.7%/yr
0.7%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby Midwest Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Kearney, NE
3.6%
$295K
$1,570
1.62%
Lincoln, NE
2.6%
$295K
$1,290
1.62%
Des Moines, IA
2.6%
$290K
$1,260
1.52%
Cincinnati, OH
3.5%
$300K
$1,540
1.52%
Omaha, NE
2.8%
$300K
$1,390
1.65%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Kearney?
Home values in Kearney have been appreciating at 2.5% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $295K home would be worth approximately $334K in 5 years.
Is Kearney a growing city?
Kearney's population of 50,000 is growing at 0.7% per year. Moderate growth provides stable demand without overheating.
What is the best investment strategy for Kearney?
In Kearney, pure cash flow is tight at 3.63%. Consider appreciation-focused strategies, house hacking, or targeting below-median properties where rent-to-price ratios are stronger.
How does Kearney compare to other Midwest cities?
Among Midwest markets, Kearney's 3.63% cap rate exceeds the Nebraska average of 3.33%. Prices at $295K are above the state average of $250K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Kearney against specific markets.
Full Kearney Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Kearney & Related Markets

More Kearney Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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